Nov 5, 2012

ASEAN - ASEAN Markets Week Ahead

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G20 finance chiefs begin Sunday two days of talks aimed at quelling fears of a global economic downturn amid a persistent eurozone debt crisis and a looming fiscal crunch in the United States.

Finance ministers and central bank governors from the Group of 20 top economies will gather in Mexico City as debt-riddled Greece continues to trouble Europe while Spain fights off pressure to seek a bailout.

While Madrid avoids the bailout route, the problems in Greece are still haunting Europe’s single currency, more than two years after Athens received its first multibillion-euro rescue.

Debt-laden European nations will lobby Asia’s economic dynamos for help to calm the crisis raging in the eurozone at a major summit next week in communist Laos, one of the world’s poorest countries.

A heavyweight contingent including French President Francois Hollande and Italian Prime Minister Mario Monti is due at the two-day meeting that opens on Monday, underscoring Europe’s growing engagement with Asia’s rising stars.

The Europeans “are aware of Asia’s growing importance as an engine of global economic growth”, said a Southeast Asian diplomat who asked not to be named.

Indonesia



Falling exports may have rattled the Indonesian economy in the year’s third quarter, but strong domestic spending and rising investment are likely to deliver a growth rate above 6 percent compared to a year earlier, economists say.

Gross domestic product rose 6.2 percent in the three months to September, down from 6.4 percent the previous quarter, according to the median estimate of six economists surveyed by the Jakarta Globe. The Central Statistics Agency (BPS) will announce the third quarter growth figure on Monday.

“Net exports are still in negative territory, weighing down on growth,” Anton Gunawan, an economist at Bank Danamon Indonesia, said on Friday. Net exports — the difference between exports and imports — contracted 26 percent in the third quarter, compared to a 29 percent contraction in the previous three month period, Anton said. In addition, “there has been a slight decline in investment growth contribution,” Anton said.

Combined domestic and foreign investment grew at 34 percent in rupiah terms in the third quarter, lower than 41 percent growth in second quarter, the Investment Coordinating Board (BKPM) said.

Anton forecast a 6.2 percent economic growth pace for the third quarter.

Destry Damayanti, chief economist at Bank Mandiri, agreed with Anton, saying that weaker exports will likely result in slower growth in the third quarter. She also estimated GDP growth of 6.2 percent.

Philippines



Universal and commercial banks in the country registered higher profits in the first semester, as growth of the economy spurred an increase in demand for loans and other banking products and services.

Monetary officials said the double-digit pace of income growth enjoyed by large banks would also boost their appetite to lend more to consumers and businesses.

Data from the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas showed that the combined net incomes of universal and commercial banks reached P55.15 billion in the first half, up by nearly 19 percent from the P46.47 billion reported in the same period last year.

Banks generated P99.07 billion in net interest income, which is revenue out of interests charged on loans less expenses for the payment of interest on deposits. This amount was up by 3.2 percent from the P95.99 billion seen in the same period a year ago.

Non-interest income—which is derived from non-lending services, such as underwriting and dealership of securities, bills payments, wealth management, etc.—amounted to P64.41 billion. This was up by 13.4 percent from P56.8 billion.

Banks posted a significant increase in profit despite the decline in interest rates to historic lows this year.

Industry members said the low-interest rate environment would dampen the interest income of banks. But the institutions are now maximizing revenue sources to counter that dampening effect.

Aurelio Montinola III, president of Bank of the Philippine Islands, earlier said banks would have to compensate for low interest rates by increasing volume of transactions and aggressively wooing more clients.

Montinola said the adverse effect of low interest rates on income per loan transaction could be offset by an increase in demand for loans.

A spike in loan demand is a consequence of cheaper cost of borrowings, he added.

The BSP cut the key policy rates for the fourth time this year.

The key interest rates, which influence commercial interest rates, now stand at historic lows.

Last month’s rate cut brought the overnight borrowing and lending rates of the BSP to 3.5 and 5.5 percent, respectively.

Singapore

DBS Group Holdings posted a higher-than-expected third-quarter net profit of $856 million, up 12 per cent from a year ago and 6 per cent from the second quarter.

The better results were driven by strong growth in property loans in Singapore, record fee income and sharply lower provisions.

The latest earnings of South-east Asia’s largest banking group beat the average forecast of $795 million in a survey of five analysts by Thomson Reuters.

For the first nine months, net profit rose 13 per cent to a record $2.6 billion from higher net interest income and customer- driven non-interest income, DBS said yesterday.

But the economic slowdown is beginning to bite.

Excluding currency effects, loans edged up one per cent to $202 billion from a slowdown in the region and a concentration of maturing trade loans during the quarter.

Deposits grew 5 per cent before exchange translation effects to $240 billion, resulting in an easing of the loan-deposit ratio to 84 per cent from 89 per cent in the previous quarter. Net interest margin declined five basis points to 1.67 per cent, reflecting prudent liquidity management and margin pressures in China, the bank said.

The impact of both factors was partially offset by higher net interest margin in Singapore and other markets.

Still, DBS chief executive Piyush Gupta was optimistic, saying: “I’m reasonably upbeat.” He noted that the United States was recovering, that Europe had pulled back from the brink, and that while Asia was slowing, it was still remarkably resilient.

Singapore’s economy slowed in Q2 and contracted in Q3 as sluggishness in trade-related sectors spread to the previously resilient services sectors, the Monetary Authority of Singapore had said on Tuesday.

Malaysia

AirAsia X Bhd, the medium haul budget carrier of AirAsia Bhd, is offering for sale 790.12million shares or 33.3% of the company in an initial public offering (IPO) that will utilise proceeds to reduce bank borrowings and for capital expenditure.

The IPO will comprise 592.59 million new shares and 197.53mil existing shares, with the new shares representing 75% of the IPO proceeds while the remainder of the proceeds will go to its promoters.

Reuters reported that the IPO, expected to debut by January, was expected to raise about US$250mil (RM750mil) for AirAsia X.

Based on Reuters’ own calculation, the total IPO of 790.12 million shares could be worth 97 sen per share.

However, AirAsia X has given no information on pricing, size of the listing or a timeframe for the IPO. The par value of the shares is at 15 sen a piece, and the price of the IPO will only be fixed after a book building exercise, for which the dates were not disclosed in the document.

Meanwhile, Bernama quoted chief executive officer Azran Osman-Rani as saying that the company submitted the proposal to the Securities Commission few days ago and expected to receive the nod by middle of next month.

“We are expecting to get the approvals by mid-December and if everything goes well, we hope to be listed by early next year,” he told reporters at AirAsia X’s fifth anniversary celebrations here yesterday.

In its draft prospectus released yesterday, AirAsia X said it would use more than half or 55.1% of the proceeds to repay bank borrowings, while 21.5% for capital expenditure which includes the acquisition of engineering and aircraft, as well as for expansion of new hubs in the future.

It said the balance 20.2% would be used for working capital and the rest for listing expenses.

AirAsia X currently serves 12 destinations across Asia, and Australia, and conducts chartered flights to the Middle East. Operating a fleet of nine A330-300s and two A340-300s, it represents the largest low cost carrier wide-body aircraft seat capacity in the Asia Pacific region.

For the six months ended June 30, 2012, the company recorded a net loss of RM29.1mil on a revenue of RM941.9mil.

Thailand

Ananda Development Company Limited IPO

Ananda Development Company Limited (ADC) was founded in 1999 by Chanond Ruangkritya. Ruangkritya family has been in the real estate business in Thailand far more than 20 years. The development under its credential including the golf course and housing estate to name as a few Green Valley Bangkok, Green Valley Rayong, Green Valley Chiengmai, Windmill, Saint Andrew etc.

Gaining business background from the family has greatly helped Chanond in setting up and running the business by himself aiming initially to be a full service housing development company taking opportunity of the economic recovery after the crisis and the strong housing demand of the resident of Bangkok, the capital of Thailand.

With successful development of housing projects, offering customers a unique design and life style concept, ADC has grown through the years and built up a strong and experienced in-house team ready to cope with the business expansion.

ADC has turned itself to be a professional real estate asset management when Pramarica Real estate Investor Asia has decided to invest in Thailand and selected ADC as an exclusive partner to manage the housing project around a newly developed Suvanabhum international airport.

The project started in 2005 with a total project value of Baht 14 billion in sale proceeds of 7 projects and 3,800 housing units. Potential growth around Suvanabhum international airport area would definitely enhance housing demand and successful in sales. Some of the projects have already launched sales while all of them would complete sale launch within 2008.

In 2007 ADC has started to manage another real estate fund invested in residential condominium along mass transit rail line. With Pramerica Real estate Investor Asia as a partner, the fund has targeted to develop 8,400 units worth Baht 21 billion in sale proceeds to serve demand of young generation of Bangkok residences with life style has been changed due to the establishment of mass transit rail line. The projects are currently in the construction process.

There is plenty of opportunity for real estate investment in Thailand. “ADC as a successful professional real estate asset management is looking forward to a potential developments serving consumer urban lifestyles.”



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