Banks in Asia Pacific are expected to issue
more hybrid securities, to maintain their capital ratios above regulatory
requirements in the next few years, said Standard & Poors Ratings Services.
In a
new report "Stricter Capital Rules To Spur Asia-Pacific Banks’ Hybrid
Issuance, Although Challenges Loom", the rating agency noted that major
Asia-Pacific countries have implemented Basel III capital reforms in 2013 as
planned, and some including China, Australia, Singapore and India have applied
more stringent requirements than those that the Basel Committee on Banking
Supervision (BCBS) recommends.
"However,
we expect banks to come under stronger pressure to keep higher capital ratios
than the regulatory requirements in the next few years. Some countries’ regulators
may opt for more stringent guidelines than those of the BCBS," S&P
said.
The
minimum capital requirement will be raised in phases during 2013-2019. As most
rated banks’ Common Tier 1 (CET1) capital ratios are already sufficient in the
range of 8-14 per cent, Standard & Poor’s Ratings Services expects them to
be able to comply with the new capital requirements without significant
difficulty.
The
banks may raise the minimum ratios by
introducing additional charges for domestically systemically important banks
(D-SIBs) or counter-cyclical buffers.
Banks
with global operations could face stronger pressure to enhance their
capitalisation - for instance, global systemically important banks (G-SIBs) may
need to have additional capital buffers.
In addition,
banks in emerging economies such as China and India may constantly need to
replenish capital to support asset growth. For banks in saturated markets,
including Japan, Korea, and Taiwan, low profitability could limit significant
improvement in their capital ratios.
"In
our view, tougher capital rules will spur banks to enhance capitalisation and
protect them from risks associated with excess credit growth and asset
inflation.
On the
other hand, higher capital charges could potentially constrain lending capacity
and economic growth unless banks are sufficiently capitalised or well
positioned to raise new capital through securities issuance."
Major
banks in Australia, Singapore, Korea, and Japan have started to issue hybrid
capital that meet Basel III requirements. These issues carry small risk
premiums compared with existing hybrid securities.
Such
risk, however, is underpinned by the stability of global financial markets as
well as the solid credit profiles of the issuers in those countries. At the
same time, banks in high-growth countries such as India and China are poised to
venture into both the domestic and global markets for Tier 1 and Tier 2
securities.
S&P
considered that they will face more challenges to tap the global market, given
their limited track record of cross-border issuance of capital instruments and
relatively low stand-alone credit profiles (SACP) compared to those in developed
markets.
Business & Investment Opportunities
Saigon Business Corporation Pte Ltd (SBC) is incorporated
in Singapore since 1994.
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