With a rising China eclipsing American
influence in Asia, Japan has stepped up its efforts to rein in Beijing’s
territorial ambitions. And President Aquino’s recent visit to Japan couldn’t be
more timely.
Despite
the dangerous upsurge in maritime disputes between China, on one hand, and the
Philippines and Vietnam, on the other, the Association of Southeast Asian
Nations (ASEAN) still struggles to forge a unified position on the South China
Sea disputes.
Given
the lingering doubts over Washington’s commitment and wherewithal to counter
China’s territorial assertiveness in the South China Sea, both Hanoi and Manila
have predictably sought more assistance from like-minded powers such as Tokyo.
In many
ways, Japan has gradually re-emerged as a geopolitical counterweight to China
-- or, at least, this is what Prime Minister Shinzo Abe has in mind.
Since
his return to power in late-2012, Abe has emerged as one of Japan’s most
charismatic leaders in recent memory, decisively pushing for a dramatic
overhaul of his country’s long-stagnant economy and pacifist foreign policy.
Among
his contemporaries, he has stood out for his iron determination to make Japan
once again a leading powerhouse in East Asia, astutely tapping into growing
concerns over China’s assertive territorial posturing.
Last
month, during his keynote address in the 2014 Shangri-La Dialogue -- an annual
forum in Singapore, which brings together top defense officials and experts
from across the Asia-Pacific region -- Abe expressed his country’s willingness
to play a more pro-active role in providing “utmost support” to the members of
the ASEAN, specifically in terms of ensuring the “security of the seas and the
skies."
Although
he didn’t explicitly point his finger at China, it was pretty clear that what
Abe had in mind was Beijing’s purported plans to impose an Air Defence
Identification Zone (ADIZ) as well as expanding para-military patrols and
reclamation activities across the South China Sea.
The
Japanese leader tried to build on his earlier efforts in late-2013, when he
gathered ASEAN leaders in Tokyo to criticize China’s (then) newly-imposed ADIZ
in the East China Sea. To entice his guests, Abe went so far as offering ASEAN
members up to $20 billion in economic incentives.
But
there are a number of obstacles. In Japan, coalition partners as well as the
greater majority of the Japanese population has resisted Abe’s plans for
revising the country’s (post-World War II) constitution, which bars the country
from developing a capacity to project power beyond its immediate territories.
As a
result, Abe is instead pushing for a “re-interpretation” of the constitution
under the principle of “collective self-defence”, paving the way for Japan to
contribute to the “stabilization” of international waters.
Among
neighboring countries, Abe has come under criticism for his purportedly
“revisionist” stance on Japan’s historical atrocities. In South Korea and
China, there is still a strong feeling that Japan has yet to fully apologize
for its past, offering commensurate compensation to the victims of Japan’s
World War II aggression. Abe will also need a significant turnabout in Japan’s
lacklustre economy if he wishes to shore up his country’s military capabilities
and help allies across the region.
Nonetheless,
through revitalized bilateral partnership with countries such as the
Philippines, the Abe administration aims to present Japan as a “force for
good”. And Aquino’s enthusiastic endorsement of Japan’s bid for an expanded
regional role in Asia could certainly help Abe’s cause.
While
Japan’s current Ambassador to the Philippines Toshinao Urabe went the extra
mile to apologize for Imperial Japan’s brutal occupation of the Philippines,
the Japanese Self-Defense Forces undertook massive humanitarian operations
during the aftermath of the Yolanda typhoon. In addition to being the
Philippines’ leading trading and investment partner, Japan is also relaxing
visa restrictions for Filipinos and contemplating a more robust presence in
post-conflict Mindanao.
So in a
strange twist of history, one could argue that Japan has perhaps emerged as the
premier strategic partner for the Philippines.
Richard
Javad Heydarian
Richard Javad Heydarian teaches political
science and international relations at Ateneo De Manila University. He has
written for or has been interviewed by Aljazeera, BBC, Bloomberg, The New York
Times, The Huffington Post, among others.
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Saigon Business Corporation Pte Ltd (SBC) is incorporated
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