More than a month has passed since the coup
to topple an elected government and reactions from the international community
- mostly Western allies - remain strong.
The
United States, the European Union and Australia have imposed measures to show
their disapproval of the coup and continue reviewing whether to impose more
measures to mount pressure on the junta.
The
National Council for Peace and Order (NCPO), as the junta calls itself,
anticipated this reaction from Western countries but underestimated the
pressure. It had hoped that explanations of the circumstances surrounding the
deep political divide given by Foreign Ministry officials and embassies around
the globe would convince the international community that intervention was
necessary. But it appears not.
"We
are invited to attend the briefings by the military on the situation and its
plans from time to time since the coup, but that is what the junta wanted us to
know while many questions remain unclear," said a diplomat, who spoke on
condition of anonymity.
US
State Department deputy assistant secretary Scot Marciel testified at
Congress's committee on foreign affairs subcommittee on Asia and the Pacific
last week that the junta did not show signs of wanting to restore democracy in
the short term.
"Recent
events have shown that the current military coup is both more repressive and
likely to last longer than the last one," he said.
What
the junta has done and promised is not convincing enough for the US, the EU and
our shared Western allies to be confident that democracy will return to the
country quickly and firmly.
The
junta said it would have a provisional charter implemented by July before
appointing the members of a national assembly. It said it could have an interim
government by September or sooner, and has laid out a vague timeline for
elections within approximately 15 months.
The
NCPO said it planned to reduce conflict and partisanship within society in
order to pave the way for a more harmonious political environment when
civilians return to control.
The
junta has removed many officials, who were mostly appointed by the previous
government, from their positions at state-owned enterprises and government
agencies to make sure that its men would secure it power during the interim
government.
The
summoning of people to report to the junta has likely stopped but many
activists and academic are being prosecuted in the military court. The media
still faces restrictions.
"We
do not see, however, how the coup and subsequent repressive actions will
produce the political compromise and reconciliation that Thailand so
desperately needs," senior US diplomat Marciel said.
"We
do not believe that true reconciliation can come about through fear of
repression."
What
Marciel presented in his testimony is not his personal view but the laying down
fundamental US foreign policy towards Thailand.
Political
conflict in Thailand did not happen shortly before the coup, but was rooted
deep since the previous coup in 2006 toppled then prime minister Thaksin
Shinawatra, the elder brother of the recently ousted former prime minister
Yingluck Shinawatra.
According
to many US officials, Washington under the Democrat-run administration
consistently stresses its support for democratic principles and a commitment to
relationship with Thailand without taking sides.
The EU
took the same stance, halting cooperation and official visits to Thailand as
well as recommending its member nations review their military cooperation with
the Kingdom. If the junta imposes more restrictions on human rights and
freedom, the EU and its members will introduce more measures.
Thailand
has to be concerned how the EU will treat it at the coming Asean-EU meeting.
Will Thailand's representatives be allowed to participate in the meeting, which
will be held in Europe this year?
The
junta's strategy on foreign relations is to beg for more understanding from
Western allies while getting closer to countries in Asia, notably China and
Asean, in order to have their support.
Foreign
Ministry permanent secretary Sihasak Phuangketkeow, who is also acting Foreign
Minister, will visit Cambodia and China in July to explain the latest
developments in the country. China has expressed its understanding and will
continue relations as usual.
For
Cambodia, the matter is a little bit more complicated after about 200,000
Cambodian workers returned home in the wake of rumours of a crackdown on
migrant workers in Thailand.
Sihasak
will meet with Cambodian Prime Minister Hun Sen and Foreign Minister Hor
Namhong in Phnom Penh tomorrow and Wednesday to discuss the matter.
The
Foreign Ministry earlier asked cooperation from Phnom Penh to monitor Thai
dissidents who might move against the junta from Cambodia, suggesting the
mission for the ministry was a hunting expedition.
Supalak
Ganjanakhundee
Business & Investment Opportunities
Saigon Business Corporation Pte Ltd (SBC) is incorporated
in Singapore since 1994.
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