Everything
China does is magnified a billion-fold: Its cough becomes a roar; its twitch, a
flexing bicep.
Yes, China has changed - and arguably, for the
better. Yet the more Southeast Asia is lulled into a seeming serenity, so do the
trappings of a false sense of security increase.
Southeast Asia doesn't fear China, but
Beijing's paroxysms of power are cause for suspicion. Five reasons explain why
political-security relations with China require circumspection.
The first is China's rhetorical bullying,
through official and alternative channels, on territorial issues.
Border disputes are common among neighbors.
But few employ open threats to its neighbors as a tactical approach as has
Beijing.
Take the US. It too has disputes, with Canada,
for example, not least of which are Washington's demands for unfettered
navigation in the Northwest Passage.
But it is unheard for Washington to make
military threats, veiled or otherwise, against Ottawa.
Last week the Beijing-based Global Times
published an abrasive editorial warning claimants in the South China Sea to
prepare "for the sounds of cannons".
"We need to be ready for that as it may
be the only way for the disputes in the seas to be resolved," the
editorial read.
Beijing can claim this is an independent
opinion, but they cannot expect our naïveté as to believe that there is no
choreography in a country where information is tightly scrutinized, especially
from a broadsheet published under the aegis of the People's Daily, the
mouthpiece of China's Communist Party.
The second is the divergence between China and
much of the region on internal transparency. The fact is that in an
authoritarian (albeit market-oriented state), internal politics are opaque.
The fingers caressing the buttons of mass
destruction, the conservatives who supplant communism with ultra-nationalism
and the militant factions whose defense budget is larger than India, Japan and
South Korea combined have all been shielded from the dialectics of free debate.
We can thus only take the charm of Beijing's
diplomacy at face value, and must always be wary of hidden agendas.
We know well the deviousness of such a
backdrop. For decades the Foreign Ministry lobbied and debated the world about
Indonesia's "incorporation" of East Timor, yet the ministry itself
had little bearing on policy making, which was dominated by a hard-line
military and an acquiescent Palace.
As the Dalai Lama said earlier this year: The
enemy is not China, it is hard-line Communists.
The third reason for caution is China's
blatant "support" of totalitarian regimes. Many, including Indonesia,
have ties with Myanmar and North Korea. However, only China is propping up
these despots.
What does this say of a country's respect for
values based on an international system that prizes people as citizens instead
of objects?
The fourth is China's tendency to over-react
when engaging neighbors. This is conduct unbecoming of a regional anchor.
China's fishing boat incident with Japan last
year was an example of using a cannon to deal with an ant-sized problem.
Rather than calmly negotiating an exit
strategy, Beijing's top brass stopped high-level talks. Even Premier Wen Jiabao
stoked tensions when he warned that "China will take further action and
the Japanese side shall bear all the consequences".
China has had a traumatic track record of
using blunt force on its immediate neighbors (our friends), i.e., its 1962
confrontation with India and 1979 hostilities with Vietnam.
In comparison, the United States is equally
guilty of unilateralism, aka global bullying. Yet over the same period its
major engagements - Grenada, Libya, Iraq, Panama, Bosnia, Kosovo, Vietnam,
Afghanistan - were against "insignificant" neighbors or its (ideologically)
diametric opposites.
Much has been forgiven, but history doesn't
forget that a generation ago China engaged in wars that claimed over 20,000
Asian lives.
Carrots and sticks are innate in diplomacy.
But China isn't some middle power waving a "stick", it is a Goliath
swinging a spiked iron maul!
It must be said that the fifth predicament -
its sheer size - is no fault of China's own.
Its mammoth population, millennia of history,
vast land mass, and growing economic prowess have instinctively made everyone
cagey. For a similar reason, this is why Singapore, despite its advanced
economy, is forever wary of Indonesia.
This is why China must learn to tread and
speak more softly. The onus is on them to assuage these concerns if it doesn't
want latent fear to undermine a vision of Asia's interconnected future.
The late Canadian prime minister Pierre
Trudeau said living next to the United States was "like sleeping with an
elephant".
"No matter how friendly and even-tempered
is the beast, one is affected by every twitch and grunt," he explained.
Trudeau's cheeky remark has resonance in
Southeast Asia.
When you sleep with a fire dragon, either by
intent or accident, you will get burned.
Meidyatama Suryodiningrat
The Jakarta Post
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