Oct 19, 2011

Vietnam - Viet Nam to trim five-year outlook



Viet Nam should not delay its economic restructuring process, in combination with the renewed growth model, and should focus on three key tasks–reinvestment, restructuring businesses and the financial market, said Viet Nam Deputy Prime Minister Vu Van Ninh.

Ninh made the statement at a conference on World Economic Outlook and Viet Nam's Response Policy, jointly organised by the World Bank, the National Financial Supervisory Commission and the Viet Nam Institute of Social Sciences, in Ha Noi Tuesday.

Ninh said the world economic downturn had affected Viet Nam since 2008 and the country had faced difficulties of high inflation, large trade deficit and high interest rates, despite encouraging results from the government's policies.

"The Government has set a yearly growth rate of 7-7.5 per cent in the five-year period of 2012-15. The target would be reduced to 6-6.5 per cent per year to give priority to curbing inflation, stabilising the macroeconomy and retaining a suitable growth rate," he said.

The restructure should be focused on State-owned enterprises, especially groups and corporations, in parallel with financial markets, including the banking system and financial institutions, by reducing their quantity and increasing scale and quality.

World Bank country director in Viet Nam Victoria Kwakwa said economies in the world had loosened competitiveness in the production sector, resulting in job shortages.

She said Resolution 11 on curbing inflation and stablising the economy had helped Viet Nam improve its macroeconomy. However, restructuring would negatively affect the economy and limit competitiveness for a long time.

"Viet Nam has to reduce the rate of growth due to imbalanced development," Viet Nam Institute of Social Sciences chairman Nguyen Xuan Thang said.

Thang said the bankruptcy of 48,700 businesses indicated it was time to review the growth model.

He suggested evaluating and analysing the effects of the world economy on Viet Nam while clarifying the existing model.

Deepak Mishra, World Bank lead economist in Viet Nam, said capital flows to developing countries reduced by 20 per cent in July and the current fiscal position of most developing countries was worse than in 2007.

"Drivers of Viet Nam's macroeconomic instability were structural in nature. The country should have a strong push to make its budget more transparent, especially in the execution of State capital budget and the inclusion of off-budget items," he said.

He added that Viet Nam should also adopt modern public investment management practices to identify, execute and monitoring Government projects.

ADB country economist Dominic Patrick Mellor said finance sector development was needed to mobilise infrastructure resourcing.

Head of the Ministry of Planning and Investment's Central Institute for Economic Management Le Xuan Ba said investment should be restructured to increase the quality of economic growth, macroeconomic stability and inflation control.

"The core element of restructuring investment under current conditions was the restructuring of public investments and, more especially, the tightening of the authorisation of investment administration," Ba said.

Business Desk
Viet Nam News



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