Nov 3, 2011

Brunei - CSPS to conduct studies on growth, population, transport



THE Centre for Strategic and Policy Studies (CSPS) is set to launch three new studies on productivity, growth and a sustainable land transportation system in Brunei, its executive director said.

Dato Paduka Dr Hj Ismail Hj Duraman, executive director of CSPS, said that the centre has gotten approval for the three new studies, which will be conducted in-house and with the help of external consultants.

Established in 2006, CSPS was set up to undertake independent and objective policy research and analysis on strategic issues concerning Brunei, especially those outlined in the country's long term development plan or 'Vision 2035'.

"These are the topics approved by (our) board and are the projects that need to be accomplished from now onwards," said Dato Dr Hj Ismail.

CSPS has just completed a few studies, with the latest one on renewable energy. A study on land use is also ongoing.

The executive director said the centre has been getting "very good feedback and input" about them.

"Of course, we want to achieve higher economic growth. So with the study on productivity and growth, we want to see what are the important driving forces for achieving them," he added.

The study on population and manpower will be done internally by CSPS, but the official said that the centre was still looking into whether or not the study on productivity and growth would require the services of external consultants. "In some cases, for example macro-type studies, we require the expertise from foreign consultants, but we also do some of the studies in house. There are cases where we simply cannot avoid involving some people from outside, like expert consultants, as they can come up with independent views of the studies being made," he said.

Dato Dr Hj Ismail added: "When we do studies that engage consultants, our own staff are also doing studies, while we engage various government agencies and our stakeholders from the private sector."

He stressed that the studies are conducted in this way so that they are not biased, and don't lack the engagement from people outside of the study.

Following the completion of the studies, CSPS will pass on the findings to relevant agencies. In the case of transportation, it will be to the Land Transport Department under the Ministry of Communication, and the Ministry of Development.

"CSPS will be very much engaged with our stakeholders, as well as the public for the importance and benefit of the country's future. That's why we are looking to engage in very important macro topics for our upcoming studies," he said.

Senior Researcher at CSPS Dr Diana Cheong said that the centre's studies require a very high benchmark. "Our previous energy study is an engineering and technical one which required the global expertise which Brunei may not have yet. Bur as Dato (Dri Hj Ismail) said, we still have local researchers and without engaging stakeholders, the study would not work," she said.

For the study on productivity and economic growth, Dr Cheong said that the centre will provide a comprehensive measurement of all levels of productivity related to economic activities; identify opportunity and constraints towards productivity; and to formulate a sustainable strategy and roadmap for driving productivity and growth. "Those are the three main objectives of this study," she said, adding that CSPS will be looking at the matter holistically and realistically.

"It's not just about how you measure labour productivity. We are looking at various measurements of productivity, capital, labour or a concept called total factor productivity (TFP)," she explained.

Dr Cheong said that TFP refers to the measurement of an enabling environment, especially referring to the Ease of Doing Business, levels of education, levels of innovation and research and development of a country.

CSPS will be paying special attention to high-growth areas such as Singapore and Korea for the study. "We want to look for example of best models and practices abroad. To see special references of ICT (infocommunication technology) in driving productivity," she said.

Noting that Asian countries such as Singapore or Japan have National Productive Centres, Dr Cheong said CSPS would be looking into the suitability of having a similar unit in Brunei.

"These are specifically catered to energising the workers production, improving leadership roles and looking at how changing mindsets can affect a future that is more productive," said Dr Cheong.

CSPS's study on population and manpower hasn't had a finalised terms of reference, but the aim is to find the optimal growth rate for Brunei's population. "We want to recommend an appropriate population policy. Currently, it's two per cent (growth) a year, but is that enough to achieve Wawasan 2035? Is that an optimal population size? And will it meet the required manpower demand for the next 30 to 50 years," Dr Cheong said of the areas to be touched on by the study.

She said that this study is mainly an intelligent study, and will be done mainly by CSPS.

GOH DE NO
BANDAR SERI BEGAWAN
The Brunei Times



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