Whenever
renewable energy experts gather, as they did recently at a world congress in
Bali, the discussion among the Indonesian participants inevitably takes on such
a familiar ring, you would swear you were among miners and oilmen.
Presentations begin with how prospective
Indonesia is and what great business opportunities there are - yes, even in the
long neglected, but now increasingly fashionable renewables sector.
We are told there is a lot of money to be made
in geothermal, biomass, solar, wind and even ocean waves. "Renewables are
not altruistic," says Star Energy's chief executive Bret Mattes.
"There are huge opportunities here."
Unlike Japan, the United States and other
industrialised nations which will find it difficult to make a radical change in
course, Mr Mattes believes a low-carbon economy is not a dream and that
Indonesia is eminently positioned to achieve it.
Rather than simply focus on forestry and
agriculture to reduce emissions, he says, Jakarta should develop a coherent
national policy and use it to build consensus at the local government level,
where officials and community leaders' knowledge of energy alternatives remains
low.
In its ambitious plan to reduce emissions by
26 per cent over the next eight years, the government expects the power
industry to cut carbon output by only 30 million tonnes, not 770 million tonnes
as required.
Mr Mattes believes it could be as much as 30
times that amount. "It can create a legacy even for the current
administration," he says. "We can do much better than what is
expected of us."
Under a 2006 presidential decree, renewables
are targeted to make up 17 per cent of the national energy mix by 2025, up from
today's 5.4 per cent.
So if this promises so many great business
opportunities, why the lack of interest?
Then comes the lament: It is difficult to get
projects off the ground because of a "combination of factors" - all
of which seem to begin and end, as they always do, with government regulations
and bureaucratic red tape.
That means the lead time for building
geothermal plants in Indonesia is a ludicrous nine years, when it should only
be four. No wonder there have been no significant new projects since the 1990s.
Sounds familiar? It should. Apart from the
boom in relatively easy coal exploration, there has not been a single new
hard-rock mine opened in Indonesia in at least a decade - and only one
significant oil discovery, which will take another three years to bring on stream.
State utility Perusahaan Listrik Negara (PLN)
makes no secret of its admiration for Star Energy's 227-megawatt Wayang Windu
plant, the country's biggest geothermal facility, for consistently providing
base-load power at 100 per cent efficiency.
Located in a picturesque tea plantation, south
of Bandung, the joint venture between Indonesian businessman Prajogo Pangestu
and British interests has been operating for the past 11 years and is on track
to double its capacity by 2013.
Yet it is just one of a handful of Indonesian
geothermal plants that together produce only 1,200MW, or about 3.7 per cent, of
current electricity generation, which is dominated by stations running on oil
(47 per cent), coal (26 per cent) and natural gas (21 per cent).
In a country with 28,000MW of potential
geothermal power, the government has only just decided that geothermal
exploration is not mining after all and should not be subject to the same
onerous regulations.
But the Mines and Energy Ministry has yet to
introduce a proper contractual regime for serious geothermal developers to
follow. Nor has it resolved some of its differences with local governments over
who actually owns the steam and who gets to issue tenders.
On top of that are the years-long delays faced
by all resource companies to secure Forestry Ministry approval to drill in
"protected forest" - in reality the vast, often-treeless watershed
that makes up 60 per cent of the country's total land area.
The National Energy Council, the government's
own policy advisory body, sees budget-distorting oil and power subsidies - and
the usual lack of incentives - as the main obstacles to the development of
renewable energy.
Removing them, however, has always been
trumped by short-term political concerns, with the energy subsidy in the 2011
budget rising from 187.16 trillion rupiah (US$21 billion) to 195.2 trillion
rupiah - about 65 trillion rupiah of that for electricity alone.
Energy planners all agree that President
Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono's government missed a golden opportunity to introduce
relatively painless incremental annual increases when it was forced to
significantly raise oil prices in 2005.
Now, the council wants the subsidy shifted
from oil to low-carbon energy, with provision for a higher feed-in tariff, just
below the PLN's ceiling for Java and Sumatra of 9.7 cents per kilowatt hour,
tax incentives and other energy-saving measures.
"Indonesia can be the global leader in
producing electricity from renewable energy, particularly from
geothermal," says Mr Mattes. "The government just needs to eradicate
some problems, like bureaucratic constraints and difficulties in getting permits."
As with everything, it seems, that is easier
said than done.
John McBeth
The Straits Times
Business & Investment Opportunities
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