He
has been ridiculed for his superficial "9-9-9" tax plan, mocked for
his policy gaffes and penchant for breaking into song, and cannot shake off a
decades-old sex scandal that grows bigger by the day.
Yet pizza mogul and United States presidential
hopeful Herman Cain continues to defy the political odds by scoring well in
opinion polls and outshining far more established rivals.
The latest Washington Post-ABC News poll,
conducted after news emerged that he allegedly sexually harassed several women
in the 1990s, puts the businessman at the No. 2 spot in a field of eight
Republican contenders.
Some 23 per cent of registered voters said
they support him, a virtual tie with the 24 per cent that the front runner,
former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney, garnered in the same poll.
Mr Cain's prominence in the Republican
presidential primary is all the more bizarre considering the other unflattering
things he is known for - from "joking" about wanting to build an
electric fence on the border with Mexico to bungling foreign-policy questions
on the Middle East and China. He did not seem to know, for instance, that China
has had nuclear weapons since the 1960s. He also openly dismissed the need for
the leader of the free world to have extensive foreign-policy experience.
Meanwhile, an old video clip of him belting
out a classic John Lennon song to strange new lyrics went viral on the
Internet. "Imagine, if there's no pizza... imagine there's only burger,
it's frightening and sad," Mr Cain crooned at a performance in 1991, when
he was the chief executive of Godfather's Pizza.
These embarrassing episodes did not seem to
hurt him one bit. If anything else, his popularity shot up during this period,
while serious candidates like Mr Jon Huntsman, a former ambassador to China and
governor of Utah, floundered in the polls.
The same Washington Post-ABC News poll, for
instance, showed that support for Mr Cain more than tripled between the middle
of July and late last month, rising from 7 per cent to 23 per cent. Support for
Mr Huntsman remains in the low single digits.
So, what accounts for Mr Cain's unexplained
ability to defy political gravity?
Experts here regard this "Herman Cain
phenomenon" as a unique product of the times - one made possible not just
by voters' widespread anger with the ruling elite and a rightward turn in American
politics, but also by a new media landscape that has upended many of the old
political conventions.
In the past, said Professor Elayne Rapping of
the University at Buffalo in New York, candidates like Mr Cain simply would not
get far because the avenues for reaching voters were limited to newspapers or
public-speaking opportunities.
But that has changed irrevocably with the
rapid proliferation of news outlets, instant Internet-based communication
platforms and portable devices which keep people connected to political news
and commentary around the clock.
"I have never seen anything like
this," added Prof Rapping.
Mr Cain's unlikely rise is also a warped
reflection of voters' frustration with conventional politicians who have been
unable to fix the country's myriad economic woes, noted Professor Ross Baker of
Rutgers University.
He told The Straits Times: "When people
are desperate and think conventional politicians have failed them, they become
willing to accept candidates who would be regarded as fringe candidates under
normal circumstances."
Mr Cain is hardly the only political
lightweight to have achieved national status in recent years. The other notable
example would be former Alaska governor Sarah Palin, who became an overnight
sensation after she was nominated as the Republican vice-presidential candidate
during the 2008 presidential campaign.
She was - and still is - widely panned by the
media for her flimsy grasp of politics, geography and world affairs.
Last year, a handful of unconventional
political neophytes - from a consultant who dabbled in witchcraft in her youth,
to a Nevada lawmaker who espoused highly controversial views on gun ownership
and immigration - ousted veteran Republican incumbents and came close to
gaining national political office. So are unconventional politicians like Mrs
Palin and Mr Cain a sign of things to come?
Prof Baker noted in jest that Mr Cain could
one day become America's answer to Mr Silvio Berlusconi, the Italian Prime
Minister notorious for his gaffes and 'bunga bunga' sex parties.
He added: "Mr Cain is popular for the
same reasons that Italians find Berlusconi appealing. They feel they can
understand him, his idiosyncrasies and so on.
"As long as people feel conventional
politics has failed them, there will be a place in their hearts for Herman
Cain."
The imposition of some basic requirements for
aspiring commanders-in-chief might seem a logical remedy, but experts say such
a move would never be tolerated in the US.
"In our democracy, you really have to
trust the electorate to weed these people out," said Prof Rapping.
"There is a certain entertainment factor
to this whole thing (with Mr Cain), and people might just say this is good fun.
I don't think the Republican Party is going to be foolish enough to go with
this guy, no matter what the polls say."
Chua Chin Hon
The Straits Times
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