Mass
migration in the Internet age is changing the way people do business
In the flat world of maps, sharp lines show
where one country ends and another begins. The real world is more fluid. Peoples
do not have borders the way that parcels of land do. They seep from place to
place; they wander; they migrate.
Consider the difference between China and the
Chinese people. One is an enormous country in Asia. The other is a nation that
spans the planet. More Chinese people live outside mainland China than French
people live in France, with some to be found in almost every country.
Then there are some 22 million ethnic Indians
scattered across every continent (the third Indian base in Antarctica will open
next year). Hundreds of smaller diasporas knit together far-flung lands: The
Lebanese in west Africa and Latin America, the Japanese in Brazil and Peru, the
smiling Mormons who knock on your door wherever you live.
Diasporas have been a part of the world for
millennia. Today, two changes are making them matter much more. First, they are
far bigger than they were. The world has some 215 million first-generation
migrants, 40 per cent more than in 1990. If migrants were a nation, they would
be the world's fifth-largest, a bit more numerous than Brazilians, a little
less so than Indonesians.
Second, thanks to cheap flights and
communications, people can now stay in touch with the places they came from. A
century ago, a migrant might board a ship, sail to America and never see his
friends or family again. Today, he texts his mother while still waiting to
clear customs. He can wire her money in minutes. He can follow news from his
hometown on his laptop. He can fly home regularly to visit relatives or invest his
earnings in a new business.
Such migrants do not merely benefit from all
the new channels for communication that technology provides; they allow this
technology to come into its own, fulfilling its potential to link the world
together in a way that it never could if everyone stayed put behind the lines
on maps. No other social networks offer the same global reach - or commercial
opportunity.
THE
IMMIGRANT SONG
This is because the diaspora networks have
three lucrative virtues. First, they speed the flow of information across
borders: A Chinese businessman in South Africa who sees a demand for plastic
vuvuzelas will quickly inform his cousin who runs a factory in China.
Second, they foster trust. That Chinese
factory-owner will believe what his cousin tells him and act on it fast,
perhaps sealing a deal worth millions with a single conversation on Skype.
Third, and most important, diasporas create
connections that help people with good ideas collaborate with each other, both
within and across ethnicities.
In countries where the rule of law is
uncertain - which includes most emerging markets - it is hard to do business
with strangers. When courts cannot be trusted to enforce contracts, people
prefer to deal with those they have confidence in. Personal ties make this
easier.
Mr Chike Obidigbo, for example, runs a factory
in Enugu, Nigeria, making soap and other household goods. He needs machines to
churn palm oil and chemicals into soap, stamp it into bars and package it in
plastic. He buys Chinese equipment, he says, because although it is not as good
as European stuff, it is much cheaper. But it is difficult for a Nigerian firm
to do business in China. Mr Obidigbo does not speak Chinese and he cannot fly
halfway around the world every time he wants to buy a new soap machine. Worse,
if something goes wrong, neither the Chinese government nor the Nigerian one is
likely to be much help.
Yet Mr Obidigbo's firm, Hardis and Dromedas,
manages quite well with the help of middlemen in the African diaspora. When he
wants to inspect a machine he has seen on the Internet, he asks an agent from
his tribe, the Igbo, who lives in China to go and look at it. He has met
several such people at trade fairs. "When you hear people speaking Igbo
outside Nigeria, you must go and greet them," he laughs.
He trusts them partly because they are his
ethnic kin but mostly because an Igbo middleman in Guangdong needs to maintain
a good reputation. If a middleman cheats one Igbo, all the others who buy
machinery in Guangdong will soon know about it. News travels fast on the
diaspora grapevine.
Thanks in part to Mr Obidigbo's diaspora
connections, Hardis and Dromedas is thriving. It employs 300 workers and sells
about 300 million naira (S$2.45 million) worth of products each year. And it is
just one of many African firms that use migrants as their eyes and ears in
distant lands. The number of Africans living in China has exploded from hardly
any two decades ago to tens of thousands today. One area of Guangzhou is now
home to so many African traders that the locals call it Qiao-ke-li Cheng
(Chocolate City).
The ability to use informal networks built on
trust and a sense of belonging is not restricted to honest businesses such as
soap-making. Those with dirty hands can build criminal networks on a very
similar basis. Many past diasporas have housed a "thing of our own",
or Cosa Nostra, as the Sicilians put it, and some still do. But new technology
may tip the scales in favour of those abiding by the law, at least a little.
National police forces still do not cooperate seamlessly but they are much
easier to connect than they once were. And the ability of migrants to
communicate with home directly leaves less room for sometimes criminal
middlemen.
IN
THROUGH THE OUT DOOR
The Chinese and Indian diasporas have long been
commercially important. In previous generations, however, China and India
themselves were closed economies, so overseas Chinese and Indian traders had to
content themselves with linking foreign ports to each other (the Chinese in
South-east Asia, for example, and the Indians in parts of Africa). That has
completely changed. The overseas Chinese now connect the world to China and
China to the world. The Indians do the same for India.
Consider the Riadys, an ethnic Chinese family
who have lived in Indonesia for nearly a century. Mr Mochtar Riady established
the family fortune after World War II, first as a bicycle trader, then by
buying a bank, then by founding the Lippo Group, a conglomerate.
Throughout his career, he relied on his
relationships with other Chinese exiles.
Ms Rosabeth Moss Kanter, a professor at
Harvard Business School (HBS) who has written a study of the Riady family,
argues that, for the Lippo Group, "networking is not just supportive of
the business strategy; networking is the business strategy" and that
ethnic ties serve as an "entrepreneurial springboard". Mr Riady would
probably agree. "Without a network, we can do nothing," he once said.
The Riadys spread from Indonesia into Hong
Kong and Singapore. In the 1980s, they moved into America, hooking up with
Chinese-American firms engaged in trans-Pacific trade. After Indonesia restored
normal diplomatic ties with China in 1990, Mr Riady spent eight months touring
the Middle Kingdom by car, sniffing out opportunities and forging new friendships.
The Lippo Group - which has interests that range from property to supermarkets
and newspapers - is investing in a variety of businesses in second-tier Chinese
cities, where Western multinationals have been slow to penetrate. Mr John
Riady, Mr Mochtar Riady's grandson, says Chinese contacts "really make us
feel at home". The government in Beijing has set up a ministry to deal
with the overseas Chinese.
Small wonder. Most of the foreign direct
investment that flows into China is handled by the Chinese diaspora, loosely
defined. Of the US$105 billion (S$136 billion) of foreign direct investment
last year, some two-thirds came from places where the population is more or
less entirely ethnic Chinese. That includes Hong Kong and Taiwan, which are
officially part of China. But these two places operate as if they are part of
the diaspora. Citizens of Taiwan are entirely outside Beijing's control. Hong
Kongers are not but they enjoy secure property rights and the rule of law in
much the same way that Chinese Americans and Chinese Singaporeans do.
These data may be misleading. Mainland Chinese
businesses sometimes launder money through Hong Kong to exploit Chinese
government incentives for foreign investment. Nevertheless, it is clear that
ethnic Chinese are far more confident about investing in China than anyone
else. They understand the local business culture. They know whom to trust.
Which is why they also serve as a bridge for
foreigners who wish to do business in China. A study by Mr William Kerr and Mr
Fritz Foley of HBS showed that American firms that employ lots of Chinese
Americans find it much easier to set up operations in China without the need
for a joint venture with a local firm.
While some migrants settle down, others study
or work abroad for a while and then return home, and others go first to one
place, then another. "People don't have to choose between countries,"
says Ms Kathleen Newland of the Migration Policy Institute in Washington.
"They can keep a foot in two or more." Their ceaseless circulation
spreads ideas and expertise as the body's blood spreads oxygen and glucose.
BRINGING
IT ALL BACK HOME
The benefits can be seen at places such as
Fortis, a chain of 50 private hospitals in India. Mr Malvinder Singh and Mr
Shivinder Singh, the brothers who built the company up, both studied business
in the United States. That imparted what Mr Shivinder Singh calls "a
certain discipline". "If you live only in India, you naturally
measure yourself against Indian standards," he says. "If you have
lived abroad, you measure yourself against the best in the world."
During their father's terminal cancer, the
brothers had a sad opportunity to see the American healthcare system up close.
Mr Shivinder Singh observed that the best American hospitals did not just have
good doctors. They were also superbly organised. Doctors follow carefully
documented procedures, instead of relying solely on their instincts, as Indian
doctors tended to. This might cramp the style of one or two medical geniuses
but it also raised ordinary physicians to a consistently high standard.
Fortis hospitals reimagined that American
excellence to fit a frugal Indian setting. A leading surgeon in America might
perform 250-350 operations a year. A surgeon at a Fortis hospital will perform
1,200. An army of helpers takes care of all the mundane tasks, leaving surgeons
free to concentrate on the surgery. So even though the Singhs pay their doctors
well, a kidney operation that might cost US$100,000 in America costs less than
US$10,000.
To keep up with cutting-edge medicine, Fortis
"very aggressively" recruits Indian doctors who have studied or
worked abroad, says Mr Shivinder Singh. They bring back specialised skills,
some of which were not previously available in India, such as transapical
procedures for heart patients and ballooning techniques in spinal surgery. They
also bring contacts: When a tough problem arises, they know whom to e-mail for
advice.
Because migrants see the world through more
than one cultural lens, they often spot opportunities invisible to their
monocultural neighbours. For example, Mrs Cheung Yan, a Chinese woman living in
America, noticed that Americans threw out mountains of waste paper and that
ships carrying Chinese goods to America often steamed back half-empty. So she
gathered up waste paper and shipped it to China for recycling into cardboard
boxes, many of which were then returned to America with televisions inside. Her
insight made Mrs Cheung a billionaire.
GOING
TO CALIFORNIA
The world is full of budding Cheung Yans.
Immigrants are only an eighth of America's population but a quarter of the
engineering and technology firms started there between 1995 and 2005 had an
immigrant founder, according to Mr Vivek Wadhwa of Duke University.
The exceptional creativity of immigrants
doubtless reflects the sort of people who up sticks and get visas. But work by
Mr William Maddux of INSEAD (a business school) and Mr Adam Galinsky of
Northwestern University suggests that exile itself makes people creative.
They compared MBA students who had lived
abroad with otherwise similar students who had not, using an experiment in
which each was given a candle, a box of matches and a box of drawing pins. The
students' task was to attach the candle to a wall so that it burned properly
and did not drip wax on the table or the floor. This Duncker candle problem, as
it is known, is considered a good test of creativity because it requires you to
imagine something being used for a purpose quite different from its usual one.
Some 60 per cent of the migrants saw the solution - pinning the drawing-pin box
to the wall as a makeshift sconce - against 42 per cent of non-migrants.
The creativity of migrants is enhanced by
their ability to enrol collaborators both far-off and nearby. In Silicon
Valley, more than half of Chinese and Indian scientists and engineers share
tips about technology or business opportunities with people in their home
countries, according to Ms AnnaLee Saxenian of the University of California,
Berkeley. A study by the Kauffman Foundation, a think-tank, found that 84 per
cent of returning Indian entrepreneurs maintain at least monthly contact with
family and friends in America, and 66 per cent are in contact at least that
often with former colleagues. For entrepreneurs who return to China, the
figures are 81 per cent and 55 per cent. The subjects they talk about most are
customers (61 per cent of Indians and 74 per cent of Chinese mention this),
markets (62 per cent of Indians, 71 per cent of Chinese), technical information
(58 per cent of Indians, 68 per cent of Chinese) and business funding (31 per
cent of Indians, 54 per cent of Chinese).
Mr Kerr has devised an ingenious study, which
uses patent information to measure how knowledge moves through diaspora
networks. Looking at the names on American patent records and guessing that an
inventor called Zhang was probably ethnic Chinese, whereas someone called Rubio
was probably Hispanic, he calculated that foreign researchers cite researchers
of their own ethnicity based in America 30-50 per cent more often than you
would expect if ethnic ties made no difference.
It is not just that Brazilian scientists in
Sao Paulo read papers written by Brazilian scientists in America. There is also
gossip. Brazilian scientists in America will often alert their old classmates
in Sao Paulo to intriguing research being done at the lab down the hall. And the
information flows both ways.
A study this year by The Royal Society found
that cross-border scientific collaboration is growing more common, that it
disproportionately involves scientists with diaspora ties and that it appears
to lead to better science (using the frequency with which research is cited as
a rough measure). A Chinese paper co-written with a scientist in America is
cited three times as often as one produced solely in China.
RAMBLE
ON
Diaspora ties help businesses as well as
scientists to collaborate. What may be the world's cheapest fridge was
conceived from a marriage of ideas generated by Indians in India and Indians
overseas. Mr Uttam Ghoshal, Mr Himanshu Pokharna and Mr Ayan Guha, three
Indian-American engineers, had an idea for a cooling engine, based on technology
used to cool laptop computers, that they thought might work in a fridge. In
India visiting relatives, they decided to show their idea to Godrej &
Boyce, an Indian manufacturing firm.
Mr Pokharna wheedled an introduction from a
young member of the Godrej family, exploiting the fact that both had been at
the University of Pennsylvania's Wharton business school. They discovered that
Godrej was already working on a cheap fridge for rural Indians too poor to fork
out the US$200 normally required, let alone the subsequent electric bills.
Mr Jamshyd Godrej, the firm's chairman, was
determined to make a cheap battery-powered fridge. With the help of Mr
Ghoshal's cooling chip, his team produced the chotuKool ("little
cool"): Light, portable, small and cheap. Mr Ghoshal's firm in Texas,
Sheetak, is working with Mr Godrej to make it more efficient.
The "new type of hyperconnectivity"
that enables such projects is fundamental to today's networked diasporas,
according to Mr Carlo Dade, of the Canadian Foundation for the Americas, a
think-tank. "Migrants are now connected instantaneously, continuously,
dynamically and intimately to their communities of origin ... This is a
fundamental and profound break from the past eras of migration." That
break explains why diasporas, always marginalised in the flat-map world of
national territories, find themselves in the thick of things as the world
becomes networked.
Shrewd firms are taking notice. China's
high-tech industry is dominated by returnees from abroad, such as Mr Robin Li
and Mr Eric Xu, the founders of Baidu, China's leading search engine. Asked how
many of his top people had worked or studied abroad, N Chandrasekaran, the boss
of Tata Consultancy Services, a big Indian IT firm, replies: "All of
them."
The Economist
Business & Investment Opportunities
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