According
to the Economist magazine, by a fairly wide margin, the United States is the
biggest spender on healthcare in the world.
This is both in terms of the percentage of
healthcare spending of total gross domestic product (GDP), as well as per
capita, or per person. Looking at GDP, healthcare accounts for 16% of the total
pie. And in terms of per capita spending, the U.S. again leads at just over
$7,500 per individual.
Big
Spenders
Returning to GDP, the next biggest spenders
are in Europe. Both France and Belgium spend around 11% of GDP on healthcare
expenditures. This is followed by Switzerland, Canada, Germany and Austria at
somewhere between 10 and 11%. The vast majority of other developed countries
are in the high single digits, and the average of this group is 10.1%.
Laggards, which are a good thing when it comes to total spending, include the
U.K., Spain and Japan, all of which are around 7%.
In terms of growth, back in 2000 the average
was 9%, meaning that healthcare spending across the globe continues to outpace
overall economic growth. Again, the U.S. has experienced among the highest
healthcare inflation. Back in 2000, it spent 13.4% of GDP on healthcare
spending, which again was the highest in the world. However, other countries
with aging populations, including Japan and Italy, have also seen above-average
rises in spending.
Trends
The growth trend in health care spending
doesn't look to be slowing down. In the U.S., a recent study by the
Congressional Budget Office estimated that spending could double in the next
decade. By 2022, it expects the U.S. to spend $1.8 trillion on healthcare.
Roughly half of this will go to spending on the elderly while another
significant percentage is projected to help lower income individuals pay for
insurance, which is part of latest round of health care regulations.
Looking at the nearer-term growth trends, the
U.S. is surprisingly a laggard. Returning to same Economist data, in 2012 the
total U.S. and North American healthcare spending will rise a more modest 4.7%.
Asia is expected to lead the way with a growth of 11.7% and will be followed
closely by Eastern Europe and Russia at 11.6%. The Middle East and Africa will
grow by 10.7% and Latin America a more modest 8.3%. Western Europe will
actually see a 1.6% decline in spending, due in good part to sovereign debt
issues that are slowing economic growth.
Challenges
Digging a bit deeper, spending on the elderly
is rising across the world as the population ages. Obesity challenges,
especially in the U.S. are accounting for a rising proportion of total
healthcare spending. Smoking-related illnesses, including lung cancer and heart
disease, are significant but no longer increasing rapidly as anti-smoking
campaigns, especially in developed countries such as the U.S., lower the
overall number of smokers.
Focusing on preventative medicine, such as
increasing health and overall well-being activities, could save trillions in
healthcare spending across the globe. One study in the U.S. estimated that
better control of hypertension in the elderly or diabetes and heart disease
care for the overweight and obese could end up saving hundreds of billions
going forward.
Another interesting question is why the
excessive spending in the U.S. doesn't lead to world-leading healthcare
statistics. The U.S. is the world's leading healthcare spender, but is actually
towards the bottom of the list in terms of average life expectancy. Japan leads
the way, with an average life expectancy of more than 81 years, to provide one
of the best values given its low healthcare spending as a percentage of GDP.
The U.S. is right next to Cuba at right around 77 years, with only a few
countries at the bottom closer to 76 years of age.
The
Bottom Line
A key takeaway, especially by looking at the
high spending in the U.S., is that the most spending does not mean the best
healthcare. Improved efficiencies are key to improving the cost/benefit
tradeoff when it comes to healthcare spending. A McKinsey article from 2010
looked at an initiative in Ireland to reform its healthcare industry, and found
that improving efficiency can have the most beneficial impact. It found that
coordinating efforts among different providers for the same patient can reduce
spending. It also modernized many hospitals and switched some services to
larger hospitals with better economies of scale.
In the U.S., a primary criticism is that
doctors and other medical professionals are incentivized to increase the number
of procedures and tests because more activity means more revenue. A shift to
preventative medicine and a focus on quality of care could help reduce spending
growth and also make the system more efficient.
Ryan C. Fuhrmann
Investopedia
Business & Investment Opportunities
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