US-China
relations require incremental steps. For now at least, slow and steady may be
the only option.
If anything, the visit by Chinese Vice
President (and assumed future president) Xi Jinping to the White House has
highlighted the continuing concerns between the two countries.
Certainly this trip reflects the growing
importance of China in American politics, but the meeting itself was little
more than an exercise in good planning and organization. While both sides
effectively stuck to their talking points, protesters gathered outside the
White House loudly addressed core concerns that were only briefly mentioned
during the meetings.
From this point of view, it’s hard to imagine
any progress being made. However, to assume so would be to overlook the
delicate relationship between the United States and China.
Incremental
steps
Given the assigned importance of the visit—one
need only look at the elaborate receptions Xi received—it was crucial that no
one proceed off script. This meant closed meetings and well-rehearsed photo
opportunities. This meant avoiding hot-button issues, much to the displeasure
of activists and political opponents of President Obama, while giving signs of
progress.
But let’s not fool ourselves into thinking
that this visit was a waste. Behind those closed doors, we may never know what
was discussed, at least in detail. The brief concerns mentioned publicly, such
as Vice President Biden’s comments on the need for economic and human rights
progress, were perhaps talked about at great length. The desire for China to
play a greater role in the world was acknowledged, but how and in what fashion?
Politics being politics, those watching from the outside are only given the
briefest of glimpse into the decision-making process.
That the US seeks to develop closer, more
productive ties with China is not in doubt—as much was said by President
Obama—but the ultimate attainment of this goal will outlast him, and perhaps
many future presidents, requiring years of diplomacy and luck. The peaceful
rise of China isn’t something that will happen overnight.
Core issues such as trade imbalance and human
rights will continue to plague US-China politics until one or the other relents
and a compromise is reached. On the matter of economics, it seems fairly
reasonable that the US and China will arrive at some agreed-on compromise in
the near future. However, on the matter of human rights, China has been firm on
telling critics to butt out of its internal affairs.
Just how much and how far the US is willing to
push the latter remains to be seen. Given that President Obama is in the midst
of a re-election campaign, it seems unlikely he’ll push too hard for fear of
setting back US-China diplomatic relations should he win; but he will push just
hard enough so as to not lose the support of pro-democracy and human rights
activists come November. For the time being, the election and domestic affairs
are the primary concern for the Obama Administration.
Working
towards global improvement
Improving relations between US and China will
not only benefit these two countries but the world as a whole. An exaggeration?
Not necessarily if one considers that the US and China are undisputed world
powers, their influence far reaching, capable of shaping international
politics. We need only look at the current bloodshed in Syria to see where
opposing powers can hinder peace. But likeminded forces, when working together,
can achieve much more.
It almost seems as if China is seeking to
divide the Pacific Ocean, leaving the West to the US and the East to itself,
the idea being that the US is free to do as it wishes on its own side of the
ocean, and allow China the courtesy of doing the same. The problem, however, is
that neither party “owns” the Pacific. Not only that, but countries within
these spheres of influence might feel slighted at being treated like pawns.
Rather than split the ocean apart and suffer headaches over who can do this or
do that, working together would be beneficial to both countries.
I am not so idealistic as to believe the US
and China will meld into some amorphous, political entity in pursuit of utopia,
but a cooperative relationship is much more agreeable than an adversarial
relationship.
Tentative
first steps
One of the main criticisms launched at China
is that its currency is artificially undervalued, thereby drawing manufactures
to China at the expense of the US (and those countries also suffering similar
problems). Moreover, intellectual theft against, and a ballooning trade deficit
for the US, have made trade between American and China a priority issue.
For China to become a true partner in the
international community, it cannot play by a different set of rules while
everyone else follows another. Until such issues are completely and fully
resolved, it’s unlikely that US-China relations will see much progress.
Nevertheless, current and future US and
Chinese leaders will continue to work towards bettering relations between both
countries. The real tension between the US and China has always been the role
the latter will play. While it has generally been accepted that China will one
day assume a larger role in international politics, the question has been
whether China is ready for such responsibilities. Still plagued with human
rights violations, and as a single-party state that is fundamentally opposed to
democracy, there is still much work to be done.
Khanh Vu Duc
Asia Sentinel
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