Mar 21, 2012

India - Data discrepancy blamed for India's low poverty line


As it faced flak over the latest poverty numbers, India's Planning Commission yesterday admitted that there is serious discrepancy between the National Sample Survey Organisation (NSSO) data and national accounts which led to the poverty line being pegged at 28.65 rupees (US$.56) per capita daily consumption in cities and 22.42 rupees ($.44) in rural areas.

The plan panel faced harsh criticism today inside and outside Parliament for the absurdly low poverty line and resultant fall in the below poverty line figure, with the opposition saying it was making a "dishonest” attempt to conceal reality through “fraudulent” estimates.

The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) said the government appeared to be setting a "starvation line".

"I do believe that the discrepancy between the consumer survey and national accounts, is a serious statistical problem,” Planning Commission Deputy chairman Montek Singh Ahluwalia admitted.

The Commission has released poverty data based on the 66th round of the National Sample Survey (2009-10) data on household consumer expenditure survey.

The national accounts, which provide data for national income, is prepared by the Central Statistical Organisation. The poverty ratio has been pegged at 29.8 per cent in 2009-10, down from 37.2 per cent in 2004-05. These are based on the daily per capita consumption of 28.65 rupees in urban cities and 22.42 rupees in rural areas.

This new poverty threshold is even lower than what it had submitted to the Supreme Court last year, which had sparked national outrage. The Commission had then put the poverty line at June 2011 price level  “at  965 rupees ($19) per capita per month in urban areas and 781 rupees ($15)  in rural areas”

Ahluwalia said, “In all countries consumer surveys give somewhat lower estimate than the national accounts. Normally, the consumer survey estimate is about 80 per cent of the National Accounts. This used to be the case in India in the 1980s.

Over a period of time the discrepancy is constantly widening...but there is huge discrepancy in the consumption survey and information we have in the national accounts.” Lauding the performance of various social sector schemes being run by the UPA during the last seven years, he said:

"The fact is that in the UPA period, the rate of poverty decline is twice as compared to the decline in previous 11 years.” “In the period 2004-05 to 2009-10, the rate at which the poverty has declined is doubled as compared to rate in the previous 11 years,” Ahluwalia said, adding that this suggests that the social sector programmes of the government are working.

As per the data, the rate of poverty reduction between 2004-05 to 2009-10 was 1.5 per cent every year whereas it was 0.7 per cent between 1993-94 to 2004-05.

When asked whether the government has failed to achieve the inclusive growth, he said, “We have not failed.”

On the use of this poverty line, Ahluwalia said, “This will be used to gauge the impact of social sector programmes over a period of time. But this will not be used for giving subsidies like food target groups.”

The Commission plans to reduce the poverty at the rate of two percentage points every year in the 12th Five-Year Plan period beginning next month.

Meanwhile, in stinging criticism of the government and the Plan panel for the conclusion that the number of people living below the poverty line has fallen by seven per cent, the BJP said the Manmohan Singh administration appeared to be setting a “starvation line”.

"I don't know which line they are drawing. Whether it is the starvation line or the poverty line. It is beyond the imagination of the Prime Minister and the Planning Commission to know how a person can survive on such a low income,” Deputy Leader of the BJP in the Rajya Sabha S S Ahluwalia told reporters.

The BJP maintained that for a person to live a life of dignity and to meet his needs of clothing, food, medical facilities and the like, the amount of 29 rupees ($.59) is too little.

Asserting that the Planning Commission’s poverty estimates was a "dishonest attempt” to conceal the reality of glaring inequalities and increasing poverty in India, the Communist Party of India-Marxist (CPI-M) asked the Prime Minister to shun these figures and urged him not to use these “fraudulent” estimates to deny poor people of their right to Below Poverty Line cards.

In a statement, the CPI-M said even the recently released Household Amenities and Assets Census of 2011 shows the extent of poverty in different spheres in India but the Planning Commission has set an "absurdly low” national poverty line of  22.40 rupees per day for an adult in rural areas and 28.65 rupees per day for an adult in urban areas in 2009-10.

News Desk
The Statesman



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