May 30, 2012

ASEAN - Asean mulls energy path

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Imports too much oil for regional security

Asean is being urged to speed up construction of gas pipelines and power grids to enhance energy security.

Greater collaboration is needed, as 40-50% of the region relies on oil imports, said Busba Wongnapapisan, head of the World Economic Forum's renewable energy industry.

"Countries could cooperate in a way to leverage their own strength such as Laos trading electricity to other countries, while Indonesia has hydro potential," she said.

Asean has an energy cooperation plan, with its first phase running from 2010-15 in terms of a regional plan to build trans-Asean pipelines and power grids connecting countries for the purpose of trade.

Currently, there are pipelines between Myanmar and Thailand, Malaysia and Singapore and Indonesia and Singapore, but they are not connected regionally to allow gas-rich countries to export to poorer ones, said Ms Busba.

The pipeline linking Myanmar and Thailand is still only one-way, but Thailand should be able to send back some gas if there is an oversupply, she suggested.

To cope with rising demand, Asean _ which has only about 1% of proven global oil reserves _ needs to invest US$1.1 trillion to build energy infrastructure by 2030, with more than half spent on the power sector. This would result in the region's share of global carbon emissions rising to 5% from 3.5%.

By 2020, Southeast Asia will have the world's third-largest population at more than 650 million, trailing behind China and India.

This offers a big potential for companies to invest in the region, but Ms Busba said there is a lack of progress being made for the region to be fully integrated, and the first phase of the plan will go beyond 2015.

She said the government needs to come up with a joint investment plan with other national and foreign oil companies.

"Different countries have different regulations. How can Asean countries harmonise their regulations, as it makes private companies reluctant to invest. They are waiting for a clear policy," she said.

Meanwhile, Thailand like other countries needs to work on energy efficiency, with plans to increase the country's energy production from renewable resources by 25% by 2020.

"Energy efficiency is the most challenging policy because Asean countries still need to grow economically," said Ms Busba.

Thailand needs more engineers and needs to decide on a biofuel policy that prevents competition between sectors.

The government will also have to come up with incentives for people to use less energy. In Europe, for instance, those who consume less energy can sell it back to the government.

Meanwhile consumers themselves have to be more aware of how much energy they consume per day, she said.

"The challenge is how to make sure the public understands the energy challenge they have to face. In some countries you have a blackout once in a while so you know the real value of electricity, but in Thailand and many other countries you don't know the real value," said Ms Busba.

Thailand has been a net import country with imports worth 800 billion baht per year, while energy demand is rising by 5% per year.

The country's import dependence is expected to increase to 80% in 2030, up from the current 60%. Thailand spent 6.8% of its GDP on oil imports in 2008, which is expected to increase to 8.5% by 2030.

"In terms of energy, we need to come up with a policy to allow Thailand to become the energy leader in the region. With a pipeline constructed, we can export our products," she said.

Bangkok Post


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