In Vietnam, protesters
recently rallied against China’s claims in the South China Sea, outraged with
Beijing's recent actions there -- including a decision to open bids for oil and
gas development in waters Vietnam says are clearly its own.
Vietnam is not the only
country that has had flare-ups with China in recent months.
Still, that has done little to
deter Beijing, which recently began sending surveillance vessels to patrol the
disputed waters.
Justin Logan, at Washington's
Cato Institute, says that as anxiety grows in the region over China’s rising
naval might, many are looking for progress on a long-promised effort by ASEAN
and China to set down rules for avoiding future disputes in the area.
“There’s going to be some
pressure particularly on the United States, since we were the ones who were
talking about this code of conduct, but also on ASEAN more generally to come up
with something that appears to be amenable to all parties,” Logan said.
However, few analysts are
optimistic that a code of conduct will do much to change the situation. Logan says what could help is for China to
take a different approach.
"I think the Chinese
would be well served to not act, to not sort of bow down to the United States,
or simply get out of the way. But just to dial it back a little bit. To allow
countries in the region, to pursue what they really want, which is to have a
good relationship with China on the one hand and a good relationship with the
United States on the other hand," Logan said.
For their part, U.S. officials
say they are going to make it clear during the meetings that Beijing and
Washington are committed to working together.
“This is a very important
message to send, because I think too often, in ASEAN, there is a concern that
Southeast Asia or other parts of Asia will become some area of dangerous
strategic competition between the United States and China,” said Assistant Secretary
of State Kurt Campbell.
And Campbell says economic
engagement with ASEAN countries will also be a crucial part of Secretary
Clinton’s trip..
“It’s going to be critical for
the United States to lay out some specific economic initiatives that will be
aimed at Southeast Asia, and that will also highlight, a substantial American
commitment to business,” Campbell said.
After meetings conclude, the
U.S. will lead one of its largest business groups ever to Siem Reap, Cambodia,
to discuss expanding American business in Southeast Asia. U.S. officials say a number of regional
ministers and leaders will also attend.
William Ide
Business & Investment Opportunities
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