Sep 5, 2012

ASEAN - Asian Currencies Weaken, Led by Rupiah, After Weak US Data

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Indonesia’s rupiah and Thailand’s baht led declines in Asian currencies on concern that a slump in US manufacturing will deter risk-taking ahead of a European Central Bank policy meeting tomorrow.    

The euro weakened against the dollar even after ECB President Mario Draghi said this week that the bank’s primary mandate compels it to intervene in bond markets to ensure the common currency’s survival. US factory output shrank last month by the most since July 2009, a report showed yesterday.    

“The weak US data is used as an excuse for position adjustment from the recent declines in the dollar before big events like ECB and jobs data in the US,” said Shigehisa Shiroki, chief trader on the Asian and emerging-markets team at Mizuho Corporate Bank in Tokyo. “The drop in regional currencies is limited as funds will eventually come to Asia, where domestic demand remains solid.”    

Indonesia’s rupiah fell 0.2 percent to 9,589 per dollar as of 10:02 a.m. in Jakarta, according to prices from local banks compiled by Bloomberg. The baht declined 0.2 percent to 31.26, while South Korea’s won and Malaysia’s ringgit each had losses of about 0.1 percent.    

The Bloomberg-JPMorgan Asia Dollar Index, which tracks the region’s 10 most-used currencies excluding the yen, was set for its lowest close in almost a week.    

The US Institute for Supply Management’s factory index fell to 49.6 last month from 49.8 in July, the Tempe, Arizona-based group said. Economists in a Bloomberg survey projected a reading of 50, which is the dividing line between expansion and contraction. Measures of orders and production dropped to three-year lows.                            

Baht, Won    

The baht snapped three days of gains after the report. The US, Thailand’s third-largest export market, bought about 10 percent of goods shipped from the Southeast Asian nation in the first seven months of this year. Overseas sales, which account for about two-thirds of the Thai economy, decreased 3.9 percent in July from a year earlier after a 2.4 percent slide in June, according to central bank data.    

The won weakened for a second day to trade at 1,134.68 per dollar as the Kospi Index of shares headed for its lowest close since Aug. 3. South Korea plans to announce economic stimulus measures next week without increasing the budget, Finance Minister Bahk Jae Wan said yesterday.    

“The euro declining before the ECB meeting and local share losses after US manufacturing data are all contributing to risk-aversion sentiment in the market, weakening the won,” said Cho Young Bok, a Seoul-based currency trader for Daegu Bank.                        Reserves, Exports    

South Korea’s foreign-exchange reserves rose $2.53 billion to a record $316.88 billion in August, the biggest increase in six months, according to central bank figures released today.    

The ringgit fell to 3.1110 against the greenback, ending a two-day rally, ahead of data forecast to show that export growth slowed in Southeast Asia’s third-largest economy.    

Overseas shipments rose 3.5 percent in July from a year earlier after climbing 5.4 percent in June, according to the median estimate of economists in a Bloomberg News survey before a government report due Sept. 7.    

“Slowing export growth will be a concern, especially after the ISM index in the US disappointed yesterday,” said Philip Wee, a senior currency economist in Singapore at DBS Group Holdings Ltd. “The ringgit will remain in this range.”    

Elsewhere in Asia, the Philippine peso dropped 0.1 percent to 41.94 per dollar, China’s yuan traded at 6.3499 compared with 6.3473 yesterday, while Taiwan’s dollar rose 0.2 percent to NT$29.855.

Bloomberg


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