Sep 22, 2012

Malaysia - Back to earth for Astro IPO

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The M$4.56bn (US$1.48bn) IPO of Astro Malaysia Holdings is being touted as another blockbuster listing in Malaysia’s red-hot equity capital markets, but the price range suggests something far more measured.

Despite early bullishness, the company set a lower-than-expected price target of M$2.70–$3.00 per share for its 1.52bn-share IPO.

The subscription television provider launched the IPO process in early August amid reports suggesting the company was marketing shares to Bumiputera investors at M$3.60.

At the time, a source predicted that would eventually become the top end of the price range: “The maximum price could be around there and definitely not lower.”

The difference between the expected price and the final price range is not unique to Astro. For instance, the Bumiputera price for Malaysia’s heavily oversubscribed IHH Healthcare IPO was first expected at M$3.15, but was finally 9.5% lower at M$2.85.

However, for Astro, the maximum price comes 17% lower than first indicated, prompting the comment that investors may be thinking a little longer before signing on the dotted line, even though the IPO is expected to meet with the success that has become typical of Malaysian floats this year.

Still not cheap

Still, Astro’s IPO is no giveaway. The current price range translates to a forward EV/Ebitda multiple of 10–11 and is higher than the 8.3, at which Indonesian cable operator MNC Skyvision priced its June float of US$226m.

“It is the price to pay for a company that is a monopoly, has a strong management and is a potential benchmark index candidate,” a banker said.

The response to the IPO is expected to be strong, with 16 investor groups coming in as cornerstone investors for 22.7% of the total deal size.

The deal includes an institutional offering of up to 1.26bn shares and a retail offering of 259.8m shares.

The 16 cornerstone investors are Areca Capital, Azentus, Antelle Holding, CMY, Corston, ECM Libra, Great Eastern Holdings, Caprice Capital, Kencana Capital, Myriad, Nomura Holdings, Och Ziff, Permodalan Nasional, Standard Pacific Corp, TPG Axon and USS.

Astro’s institutional book opened on September 20 and closes on October 3. The retail offer opens on September 21 and closes on October 1. The issue will be priced on October 3 and listing is targeted for October 19.

The IPO size represents 29.2% of the company’s enlarged capital. Astro Networks is the selling shareholder. There is a 90-day lock-up on the selling shareholder and the cornerstones, but the first 15m of each cornerstone’s shares are freely tradable.

CIMB, Maybank and RHB are the joint principal advisers. CIMB, Credit Suisse, Goldman Sachs, JP Morgan, Maybank and UBS are joint global co-ordinators, with Bank of America Merrill Lynch, Citigroup, DBS, Deutsche Bank, Macquarie, Morgan Stanley and RHB the other bookrunners.

Astro All Asia delisted its shares in 2010 in a transaction that valued the company at M$8.5bn. CIMB was the lead banker for the delisting.

S Anuradha



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