Taiwan President Ma Ying-jeou paid an inspection visit to Pengjia Islet,
or Agincourt, last Friday. His purpose was to emphasise Taiwan's sovereignty
over the Tiaoyutai Islands, which the Japanese call the Senkakus and claim as
their inherent territory just as China does. The purpose was served.
The sovereignty dispute, which
arose after a U.N. survey indicated that there are vast oil reserves under the
waters of the tiny uninhabited islets, which the Chinese call the Diaoyu
Islands. Tensions are mounting between China and Japan with Prime Minister
Yoshihiko Noda's decision to nationalise the Senkaku Islands, three of which
ultra-nationalist Governor of Tokyo Shintaro Ishihara would like to buy if he
could to defend against an imagined imminent Chinese takeover. Taiwan has to do
something for self-preservation in the new conflict among the three sovereignty
claimants.
That something is the “East China
Sea Peace Initiative” Ma proclaimed, coincidentally 60 years after the Peace
Treaty of Taipei went into force. Under the treaty, signed on April 28, 1952,
Japan renounced Taiwan and its appertaining islands, which were returned to the
Republic of China. Ma's initiative calls for shelving the sovereignty dispute
in order to jointly develop the Tiaoyutais' resources, but that call fell on
deaf ears. So, he flew to Taiwan's northernmost island of Pengjia to announce
an action plan to make the East China Sea a sea of peace and prosperity.
Under Ma's action plan, a
three-way dialogue is proposed to emerge among Taiwan, Japan and China. He said
on Pengjia that there now exist three bilateral dialogue platforms between
Taiwan and Japan, China and Taiwan, and Japan and China. If three countries
were all in agreement, the three bilateral platforms could be amalgamated into
one tripartite dialogue mechanism to negotiate a modus vivendi for their joint
development of the resources of the small archipelago, a mere 100 miles
northeast of Keelung. As an idea, it sounds just as good and fine as the “East
China Sea Peace Initiative.” But neither of them can work.
The tripartite dialogue would be
possible, if all three countries were agreed. First of all, they have to agree
the sovereignty dispute exists. But all of them insist their sovereignty is
indisputable. Taiwan and China would shelve that dispute, but Japan stubbornly
reiterates there isn't a dispute that needs to be shelved in the first place.
Even if Tokyo were persuaded to shelve the
sovereignty dispute to get the tripartite dialogue under way, mutual suspicion
would doom it to utter failure. Japan would suspect that Taiwan and China might
gang up against it. Taiwan doesn't want to appear subordinate to China, which
suspects Taipei and Tokyo could make a secret deal to the detriment of its
national interests. Taipei would also suspect it might be shunted aside by
Tokyo and Beijing that may arrange a similar deal for their mutual benefit.
Nonetheless, this is the best Ma
can do under the existing circumstances. China is an emerging bully. Japan is a
world power. And the president, under pressure of Taiwan's rising new
nationalism, has to make a move to safeguard the sovereignty of the Tiaoyutai
Islands in the face of his two formidable adversaries. He can't rattle a sabre
that Taiwan doesn't have. Taiwan relies on China and Japan for trade to
survive, and Ma cannot afford to threaten an embargo or economic sanctions to
make the two adversaries listen. In fact, he cannot resort to anything potent
enough for persuading them to treat Taiwan as a party to the dispute on an equal
footing.
Between a rock and a hard place,
President Ma has chosen the East China Sea Peace Initiative and the trip to
Pengjia, which Su Tseng-chang, chairman of the opposition Democratic
Progressive Party, has condemned as an act of “making an Ah Q out of himself.”
As a matter of fact, it is Ma's only path between Scylla and Charybdis.
Su is now suggesting Ma should
call upon the United States to join in a quadripartite dialogue to solve the
sovereignty dispute. Apparently, Su does not know Ma is not doing all this to
solve the problem, but rather in order just to avoid remaining under fire from
Su and company for failure to safeguard Taiwan's inherent territory of the
Tiaoyutai Islands.
Business & Investment Opportunities
YourVietnamExpert is a division of Saigon Business Corporation Pte Ltd, Incorporated in Singapore since 1994. As Your Business Companion, we propose a range of services in Strategy, Investment and Management, focusing Healthcare and Life Science with expertise in ASEAN. We also propose Higher Education, as a bridge between educational structures and industries, by supporting international programmes. Many thanks for visiting www.yourvietnamexpert.com and/or contacting us at contact@yourvietnamexpert.com
No comments:
Post a Comment