This is a response to Irrawaddy magazine's article, "Fresh Arakan
(Rakhine) Strife Bad Omen for Reform".
Although I am not a veteran
analyst, I just wanted to point out some facts - I thought - you might have
missed.
You stated that the fresh
violence in Rakhine State will have serious implications for Myanmar and
regional stability if it does not come to a stop immediately. Moreover, the
international community must not stay passive otherwise Myanmar’s fragile
democratic transition will face a grim setback.
But what really have motivated
this current phase of violence? In your article, you suggested that it was not
motivated by ethnic or religious factors. You quoted Asean Secretary-General
Surin Pitsuwan saying (it was) a political, democratic, human rights and
constitutional issue. You hinted that a group of people has been working to
instigate the violence for several months and blamed some democratic figures
for failing to take immediate actions. You stated two theories: hardliner
factions in the ruling USDP were behind the violence in order to undermine the
President’s reform process, and the strife is intended to allow the Burmese
armed forces to return to the spotlight.
What did you forget? Myanmar is
located in a strategic location. China is seeking a way out to the Indian
Ocean, while the US wants a partner to balance China. What is more, has Myanmar
attracted some radical Islamic ideas? Just before the riots in Rakhine State,
Muslim insurgents were given a full autonomy opportunity in a milestone
agreement with Manila over Mindanao in the Philippines. The Muslim uprisings in
Thailand and Bangladesh have also concurred. All these could not be just
coincidences.
After the Arab Spring, Muslim
radicals have a chance to switch their strategies. As Minn Ko Naing, a
prominent 88-generation student and well-known democratic activist, said they
would probably be hunting for easier targets. They might want to take chances
on weaker countries, which are focuses of the US, like Myanmar. In fact, our
country is barely freed from dictatorship. Can I say the extremists are testing
our strength when we are burdened with democratic reforms? A good political
analyst cannot deny this possibility.
The Rakhine riots in June
occurred during the UN General Assembly. Then, the riots won attention from the
international community. President Thein Sein's government, trying to get
credible recognition from the global community, had to accept the pressure from
the Organisation of Islamic Conference, and allowed Tomas Quintana, the UN's
special envoy to Myanmar, to visit the riot areas. But Myanmar people protested
against the opening of OIC offices in the country, which was seen as a prelude
to reignite the riots.
The second round of riots
coincides with the Asean Summit. Did Asean bring the issue to forefront? (There
are some examples among Middle East countries, which always pointed out the
Israel-Palestine crisis just to cover other matters such as Iran’s nuclear
programmes.) Asean could not view the Rakhine issue as a regional problem.
There are more important matters to be addressed. There is another thing to
think about: the riots recommencing in Kyaukpyu - which is a vital part to the gas
pipeline project scheduled to be operational in 2013.
What do you think about it? I
cannot view these events as coincidences. Is a group of Muslim extremists
igniting extremism to win sovereignty - as is the case of the Philippines? Most
of Myanmar people do not accept Bengalis as an ethnicity. However, that does
not deny giving them nationality. If they are fluent in Myanmar language
skills, and are officially registered as citizens, they can get the
nationality. And the others who have lived over generations and have good
language skills, can be given secondary citizenship. Sending them to a third
country rings a hollow. They have to be integrated into the community. They
must be persuaded to coexist with Rakhine residents as before. Who destroyed this
coexistence?
It needs to be considered
thoroughly: Bengalis cannot be put into refugee camps as we do not want
creating religious extremists. It is almost impossible to send them back to
their country or to a third country. Separating them from other ethnics would
cause problems at the time of implementing federal ideas. As secondary
citizens, they cannot get the vote or cannot win a seat in parliament. So needs
to be done is to integrate them into the society. Economical and educational
sectors need to be improved. Problems can be lessen if the areas are more
developed and locals become more educated. However, they have to wait for at
least two generations to get the vote. Still, Bengalis are the burden not only
in the Rakhine state, but also for the locals. Once they are officially
registered as citizens, they can go freely throughout the country and enjoy the
rights of a citizen.
The occurrences in Rakhine State
are a national issue, not international. The problems should be solved by
speeding up development projects to result in peaceful solutions. The more
developed the area is and the more the people are informed, the less likely
such conflicts will emerge.
I think the leaders should take
advice from different perspectives. There are examples in history. The riots
first happened only at the Bengali majority places in June. Ironically,
Bengalis started the recent riots in Bengali minority places. Do they want to
say that they are being oppressed by the Rakhine? It has not been long since
the word Rohingya emerged, but they are now calling for the recognition like in
the Philippines. Such demand is totally unacceptable. Rohingya have not existed
in Myanmar and the history proves this.
This crisis highlights the
current political changes, geo-politics and political circumstances in Myanmar.
The stance of Western countries can also be doubted. Can you say they are not
diverting the strong Muslim sentiments against Christianity? What if they have
that kind of ideas? Even BBC described Rakhine State as Rohingya State.
Therefore, just blaming the government is not right. We should have a deeper
insight.
This issue did not spring from
poor governance as Aung San Suu Kyi, Myanmar's democratic icon, has pointed
out. I believe thinking only about governance is not fair. International
political current, Myanmar’s geo-politics and circumstances should be included.
I prefer not to view these riots
as a political and governmental scandal. In fact, this crisis cannot be solved
by the government alone. People need to see the puppet master. Myanmar must not
be dominated by the US, China or religious extremists. Is Irrawaddy neglecting
the fact or failed to conclude it? Or fail to outwit the foreign media?
Zwell Waian
Eleven Media Group
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