Remittances into Vietnam this year are flowing strongly with the Tet
lunar new year holiday approaching, despite the gloomy global and domestic
economy.
According to a World Bank (WB)
remittances report update for 2012 released late November, 2012, the expected
remittances to Vietnam this year is $9 billion, ranking ninth out of 10
recipients of migrant remittances worldwide. The first and second places belong
to India and China, respectively.
Last year, Vietnam also received
$9 billion in remittances, ranking 16th out of the 30 countries that have
received the most remittances in the world.
An analysis from the National
Financial Supervisory Committee early this month exceeded the World Bank
estimates, forecasting that overseas remittances to Vietnam during 2012 would
reach between $10 billion and $11 billion.
According to the WB, a strong
performance in exports, slower growth in imports and continued robust flow of
remittances have helped Vietnam to turn around its external economic sector.
This, in turn, has contributed to improving its balance of payments, augmented
its stock of foreign exchange reserves and helped to reduce pressure on the
VND/USD exchange rate.
Moreover, remittances are
expected to flow more strongly in the coming time, when the Tet holiday is
coming near. According to Tran Van Trung, director of Dong A Money Transfer
Company, during Tet the demand to send remittances as gifts might increase by
50 per cent compared to the previous month. Tet this year will be in February,
2013.
“It is proved in Dong A Money
Transfer Company’s remittance volume of $1.35 billion in the first 11 months of
this year and the expected total volume is $1.4 billion for this year,
achieving our company’s year-plan target,” said Trung.
Moreover, Trung added that the
stable exchange rate was a contributor to increasing remittances. People
receiving remittances have tended to exchange to VND right at the banks due to
the close gap between official and parallel forex market rates, helping banks’
forex reserve increase.
Agreeing with Trung is Ngo Xuan
Hai, director of Money Transfer – Vietinbank, who said normally in the months
close to Tet holiday, remittances from overseas Vietnamese was very strong.
Hai said 2012 had been a
difficult year, especially in the countries where many overseas Vietnamese
live, such as the US and European countries. “Vietnam’s economy faces more
difficulties than last year, including frozen stock and real estate markets.”
“Thus in 2012, there is mostly no
change in inflow remittances to Vietnam compared to 2011. Remittances
transferred through Vietinbank increased by more than 10 per cent compared to
last year. Almost all of the remittances were used to support their relatives
rather than invest in the local real estate market like last year,” added Hai.
Last year, remittance transferred through Vietinbank reached $1.3 billion, up
15 per cent compared to 2010.
Phan Huy Khang, general director
of Sacombank, said that the remittance through Sacombank Remittance Company was
$1.6 billion in the first 11 months of this year, achieving its year-plan
volume.
Trinh Trang | vir.com.vn
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