The
five-year socio-economic development plan will focus on achieving breakthroughs
three specific areas: completing institutions for a socialist-oriented market
economy, training high quality human resources, and improving the transport
system and urban infrastructure.
On the last working day of its second session
on October 1, the National Assembly Standing Committee discussed a Government
report on the implementation of socio-economic plans and State budget estimates
for 2011 as well as socio-economic development orientations, tasks and plans;
State budget estimates and allocations for 2012; socio-economic development in
the 2011-2015 period; national targets for the 2011-2015 period; and the use of
government bonds in the 2011-2015 period.
According to the report, for the remainder of
2011 the Government will prioritize containing inflation, stabilizing the
macro-economy and ensuring social welfare.
For 2011 and first years of the five-year
there will be less focus on GDP growth in order to prevent high inflation.
FDI in the first nine months of this year is
estimated to reach US$8.2 billion, up 0.2 percent compared to the same period
in 2010. 675 new projects were granted investment licenses with total
registered capital of more than US$8.23 billion. US$2.15 billion worth of ODA
capital was disbursed, equal to 89.6 percent of this year’s planned amount.
Based on the results so far, it is estimated
that GDP will grow by 5.8-6 percent this year while the target set by the
National Assembly is 7-7.5 percent. The export value will increase by 31.6
percent with an import surplus of 10.5 percent; total social investment capital
will go up 34.5 percent; and the consumer price index (CPI) will rise 18
percent. The respective targets set by the NA are 10 percent, a maximum of 18
percent, 34.5 percent and 7 percent.
Six out of 22 targets set for 2011 will not be
reached, including economic growth, CPI, total social investment capital, the
number of villages meeting the criteria for new rural areas, the reduction of
the number of poor households and the number of rural people with access to
safe water supplies.
The Government also devised targets and
criteria for the 2011-2015 socio-economic development plan based on the current
situation at home and in the world. Accordingly, it will focus on containing
inflation, stabilizing the economy, maintaining growth while restructuring the
economy and improving quality, and establishing an effective and competitive
growth model towards sustainable development by 2013.
It will focus on the three strategic
breakthroughs and 12 major orientations in its socio-economic development
strategy.
The Government proposed two scenarios for
economic growth in the next five years; in one the GDP will grow by 6.5 percent
and by 7 percent in the other./.
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