Davos
is used to bluster from political leaders. But when usually quietly spoken
company bosses from all corners of the earth warn of "not a crisis, but a
disaster," when they call something a "cancer in society," you
know we have a problem.
The world, they say, is "sitting on a
social and economic time bomb". The world is plagued by youth
unemployment.
The numbers are stark: In some countries of
the Arab world, up to 90% of 16-24 year olds are unemployed. In the United
States the youth unemployment rate is 23%. In Spain nearly 50%. In the UK 22%.
Worldwide, some 200 million people are
unemployed. 75 million are between 16 and 24 and every year about 40 million
young people are entering the workforce.
'Unemployment
sucks'
The business leaders at the World Economic
Forum (WEF) know why it matters: Young people who were unemployed for a long
time will earn less throughout their whole lives.
They will be less employable. They won't have
the skills that business needs. They are more likely to have long-term health
problems. And it can cause social unrest.
There's a term for it: Lost generation. Or as
one business school professor puts it: "Unemployment sucks. Youth
unemployment sucks even more."
"The youth has lost a line of sight to
the future."
Running
out of talent
And bosses really do care about these things,
even the most cold-hearted ones, because all of the above costs money -
indirectly because of lower demand for their products and services; directly in
training and healthcare costs, and higher taxes.
Then there is demography. In Jordan, about 70%
of the population is under the age of 30. If the youth is not fit for the
workplace, the country will run out of talent soon, said a participant.
And, believe it or not, many chief executives
here really care passionately about the issue.
Again and again during the Davos meeting,
executives raised the issue of youth unemployment.
For politicians, the Arab Spring is still
fresh in people's minds.
The uprisings started in Tunisia, when Mohamed
Bouazizi set himself on fire: "He killed himself not because he wanted to
make a political protest, he killed himself because he didn't have a job,"
said an investment fund manager from Pakistan.
Making
a difference
The WEF's organisers love to demonstrate that
their huge network - a unique combination of big business, government, social
entrepreneurs and non-governmental organisations - can make a difference.
A workshop was set up to pin down what causes
youth unemployment, and whether there might be some quick-win solutions to
tackle the problem.
In line with Davos rules I can't quote people
by name, but whoever spoke, it was obvious to participants that the problem
defies straightforward solutions.
Of course, all unemployment has one thing in
common: a lack of demand for workers.
But every country, every region has different
problems.
Automation replaces many routine jobs, not
just in developed countries. There are structural problems, for example when
it's just too bureaucratic to hire somebody.
The education system can be to blame, failing
to give youngsters the skills that are needed for jobs in advanced economies.
In South Korea, it's the other way round. So
many people are university graduates, the country is running out of people to
fill blue-collar jobs.
Then there are life skills, or rather the lack
of it. Some youngsters don't know the basics, from getting on with co-workers
to having basic entrepreneurial skills.
Sometimes, better schooling could have
provided a fix: In China, most delivery drivers can read only Chinese, which
makes them unemployable for global logistics companies who deliver parcels and
mail arriving from around the world.
Then there are cultural issues. Some countries
educate large numbers of women to university level, only for them to be denied
work opportunities, wasting their talents.
Search
for solutions
So what to do?
"The private sector could be a game
changer in this," said a participant. But you're in Davos, that's what
capitalists say, you may counter. Except that the speaker is fairly left-wing
and works for an education campaign group.
And it's a theme that comes up again and
again: Businesses, universities and schools, governments and non-governmental
organisations fail to talk to each other about what they need and what they can
deliver.
"Universities are just too slow,"
said one industrialist. "If I tell them that I need graduates with
different skills, it takes them two years or more to change their courses. By
then technology will be changing yet again."
Celebrating
failure
However, another boss warned that "a good
education does not guarantee you a good life anymore."
Whether they were from the Arab world, the
North, from Latin America or Asia, many executives bemoaned the lack of
entrepreneurial drive and basic business skills.
Ultimately, though, the problem comes down to
demand.
The man in charge of a firm with several
hundred thousand staff around the world complained that, "we live in a
world where wealth creation is uncoupled from job creation. This once close
connection is ruptured."
Big
steps, small steps
While some suggested the creation of huge
programmes, with $50bn (£32bn) spent over 10 years to train young people around
the world, others proposed smaller steps with more guarantee of success.
Too many young people were lacking role models
in their own families. Sending successful university graduates back to school
to teach for a couple of years would provide the inspiration that many
teenagers were lacking. Some countries, especially the United States, had
shocking high school drop-out rates. Mentorship programmes for entrepreneurs
were proposed, as was help with job mobility.
Too many companies also had neither the
resources nor the knowledge to grow their business at speed.
And maybe the incentives were not right. How
about a tax system that rewards the creation of long-term jobs, asked one
participant.
As the afternoon wore on, again and again
Davos man and woman remarked: "There's no simple solution."
Ten
for ten
In a small way, the forum has indeed got the
ball rolling. A working group of forum members recently launched the Ten
programme - "train, employ, nurture".
Forum members are encouraged to employ 10
young people aged between 18 and 24, and train them, give them life skills,
start-up skills, and - most importantly - give them a mentor to help them shape
their future.
The programme is in its early stages, with two
pilot projects in Indonesia and Cambodia.
And for now the companies are probably
cherry-picking candidates. So far only 1,000 young people are in the programme.
But on the upside some 80% go on to stay with the company.
But why just 10 youngsters per company, the
organisers were challenged.
Simple psychology, they replied. Go beyond 10
people, and companies will find it too much of a commitment to join the scheme.
Once the first unemployed are in their
placement, many companies start asking for more.
It's just another small step. But tackling
youth unemployment, said one executive, "is critical to all our
futures".
Tim Weber
Business editor, BBC News website, Davos
Business & Investment Opportunities
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