Minister
of Information and Communication Nguyen Bac Son has said that the ministry will
only consider licensing 4G licenses by 2018, giving more time to help
enterprises take back their investment capital from 3G network.
As such, the minister’s statement has given
the final answer to the question when Vietnam should begin providing 4G
services. However, in fact, opinions about the time to license 4G services
still vary.
The draft national strategy on telecom
development by 2020 said that by 2014, Vietnam would begin experimenting
next-generation mobile services, while the providing of the services would be carried
out from 2015. By 2018, Vietnam would consider re-arranging the wavebands now
being used for 2G networks, radio and broadcasting so as to use for the
next-generation mobile information system (IMT advance – 4G).
Son said that it is necessary to define the
moment for businesses breaking even to decide the moment of licensing. This
means that only when enterprises can break even or nearly break even and take
back their investment capital in the previous technologies, will the ministry
consider licensing the next technologies. If not, there might be a technology
race which would lead to the waste of money and ineffective operation of
enterprises.
However, Pham Hong Hai, Director of the
Telecom Agency, said that it is very difficult to define the time of breaking
even of a technology. The 2G service is a typical example. By 2009, when
Vietnam began licensing 3G services, some enterprises still had not made
profits with their 2G services. Meanwhile, others all had made fat profits
already.
Meanwhile, other countries in the world began
implementing 3G since 2000, while Vietnam seemed to be late when beginning
providing 3G services in 2009.
“Therefore, even if enterprises do not apply
3G technology, their 2G would still be bad,” Hai said, adding that by 2015,
Vietnamese would have six years of implementing 3G, the time is long enough to
develop a new generation of technology.
By that time, Hai said, the 4G technology
would be perfect; the terminal devices would be cheap, which means high success
possibility. Therefore, Hai believes that 2015 is the reasonable time for
Vietnam to license 3G services.
Meanwhile, according to Deputy Minister of
Information and Communication Le Nam Thang, the words in the draft strategy in
telecom development may lead to misunderstanding. The technology generation
should be understood as to be implemented on the wavebands of 2.3 and 2.5 for
LTE and Wimax technology generations at present, and these would be 3.5 or
3.9G, not 4G.
Meanwhile, the 4G technology in the draft
strategy would be implemented from 2018 and on the waveband of 700 or 800 and
900.
Thang went on to say that only by 2018 will
the ministry consider licensing 4G services, and this does not mean that the
ministry forces enterprises to implement 4G. The period of 7-8 years is long
enough for technologies to change a lot. And it is not sure which standards
would come out, or the world would skip 4G and march directly towards 4.5G.
Meanwhile, in mid 2011, at a conference
reviewing the implementation of 3G held by the ministry, representatives of
some telecom companies expressed their viewpoint that 4G services could be
mentioned from 2013-2014.
Truong Dinh Anh, General Director of FPT (the
Corporation for Financing and Promoting Technology), said at the conference
reviewing the six month operation of 2011 that in two years, when the terminal
devices get cheap enough and 4G technology gets ripe, this would be the right
time to implement the technology.
Source: VNN
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