VietNamNet Bridge – A strange thing is occurring
in Vietnam: while businesses declare big losses or bankruptcy, banks still make
big money.
Bankers strong, businesses weak
In a healthy economy, banks pump capital into
production. After production generates profits, capital is returned back to
banks which then lend to businesses to create bigger profits. This means that
there always exists a close link between the production and the capital, between
enterprises and bankers.
However, a strange thing is occurring in Vietnam:
while a lot of businesses have gone bankrupted in the big economic
difficulties, bankers still stay safe from the crisis.
A lot of businesses have reported bad business
performance for 2011 and loss in this year’s shareholders’ meeting season.
Meanwhile, most banks have reported big losses at shareholders’ meetings.
Dr Le Dat Chi from the HCM City Economics University
said that for a long time, the banking system has not paid much attention to
lending to the production sector. Instead, they have been pouring capital into
the stock market and real estate market which can bring higher profits and
faster capital turnover
Chi said that when the banking system cannot support
the development of businesses, this means that the national economy suffers
from diseases and it needs prescription to treat the diseases.
In fact, the State Bank has admitted that there are
some weak banks which need to be restructured. Some economists have suggested
that it would be better to let the banks get bankrupted. In principle, bank is
also a business, and like other types of businesses, banks should also be
dissolved when they do not have capability.
Dr Vu Thanh Tu Anh, Director of the Fulbright
Economic Teaching Program, has warned that the determination by the government
not to let any banks go bankrupted and any bankers lose their stockholder
equity may create a “reverse effect.”
The merger of the first three banks in Vietnam,
which was announced in late 2011, was a typical example. In this case, the
owners of the banks did not lose their stockholder equity. Especially, they
have even got the capital pumped by the State Bank. This would prompt other
banks to follow the move.
“As a result, the action by the State Bank may erode
the confidence on the banking system and the national economy,” Tu Anh said.
A question has been raised about who would “take on”
the weak banks which need restructuring. In other countries in the world, the
governments would spend money to buy stakes of banks to obtain the right to
control the banks. After the banks can make profits, the governments would
resell the banks to investors. Meanwhile, it proves to be unfeasible to call on
investors to spend money to take over the banks which have been in bad
conditions.
Some big banks have stated that they are ready to
receive smaller banks if they are requested, or to cooperate with other banks
for a better development. Dang Van Thanh, President of Sacombank, has affirmed
that Sacombank has got ready for the cooperation deals. Ten years ago, Thanh
Thang Bank was successfully merged into Sacombank.
The government has announced it may consider
allowing foreign credit institutions to buy Vietnamese banks and raise the
foreign ownership ratio limits at the banks.
Nevertheless, Le Xuan Nghia, a well-known financial
analyst, has warned that it would be very difficult to call for foreign
investment into weak banks.
In fact, merger is chosen by banks only when they
cannot find other feasible solutions, because they would have to undergo very
complicated procedures to be merged into others, while the legal framework on
the issue still shows many problems.
Some banks have decided to cooperate with other
banks in some fields, rather than wholly merging into others. ACB, for example,
has signed a memorandum of understanding with Standard Chartered Bank on a
cooperation plan, under which ACB’s personal clients would enjoy many benefits
and services of the bank.
Doanh Nhan
Business & Investment Opportunities
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