The
major story out of Bangkok in 2010 was extreme weather in the form of
torrential monsoons that sent the Chao Phraya River on a rampage that left
US$40 billion of flood damage in its wake. Extreme weather events were also a
big story of 2010, but at the other end of the spectrum: a record drought that
desiccated millions of dollars’ worth of crops.
These
events offer a glimpse into our future in a changing climate. Scientists
generally agree that one problem with an atmosphere that is rapidly
accumulating carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases is that weather extremes
like those Thailand has recently seen will become more common. And among other
things, this new order in which extremes become routine threatens to reverse
decades of progress in dramatically boosting food production in the rice bowls
and breadbaskets of Asia.
Also,
despite our gains in food security, today, of the nearly 1 billion people in
the world who don’t get enough to eat, more than half live in Asia. Moreover,
our populations are growing rapidly. Reducing the food insecurity that exists
today while keeping pace with population growth means that our farmers must
significantly increase production. They need to do this even in the midst of
wild swings in growing conditions and, furthermore, with approaches that do not
further exacerbate climate change, such as by clearing forests—and releasing
all of the carbon stored in them—to create more farmland.
The
challenge can seem daunting. For example, millions of Asians who farm the
region’s fertile river deltas will be particularly vulnerable to rapidly rising
sea levels, which is bringing saltier water further and further inland. The
vast coastline of Vietnam alone extends over 3,200 kilometers—roughly twice the
length of California—and already in the Mekong River Delta salinity levels are
rising in an area that is home to half of the country’s rice production.
The
global Commission on Sustainable Agriculture and Climate Change has produced a
clear set of urgent actions that can be used by policy makers to usher in a new
era of “climate-smart” agriculture, in which farmers are able to adapt to
shifting growing conditions through the sustainable intensification of food
production.
As a
member of this Commission, I am deeply aware of the magnitude of the threats we
face and how difficult it can be to boost agriculture production without adding
yet more emissions to the “greenhouse.” But I am also encouraged by the way
scientists are responding to these challenges with practical, accessible
innovation.
Last
month, climate specialists and agriculture and development experts from around
the world came to Bangkok for a conference on Climate Smart Agriculture in
Asia, convened by the CGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and
Food Security. They showed that significant progress is already underway.
For
example, scientists with the Philippines-based International Rice Research
Institute (IRRI) have isolated a gene in a rice variety grown in India that
enables the plants to survive being submerged in floodwaters for up to more
than two weeks. Plant breeders have now endowed rice varieties across the
region with this trait, creating local versions of so-called “scuba rice” that
offer a bountiful harvest in situations that would otherwise be devastating.
At the
other end of the spectrum, researchers are developing and will make widely
available rice varieties that can survive drought conditions. They are also
making major advances in developing varieties that can tolerate salty soils.
These
are impressive advances, but many more will be needed. Boosting production in
the midst of radically altered growing conditions and doing so in a sustainable
way will require a commitment to supporting research into climate-smart
agriculture and to ensuring the fruits of this work move quickly to the farm.
The
Commission recently prepared a report laying out in stark terms the problems
confronting agriculture and calling for specific investments in research and
policy changes that will be critical to avoiding an unpleasant future of
climate-induced crises. At the upcoming Rio+20 Earth Summit, we will convince
governments to make clearer and stronger commitments to sustainable,
climate-smart agriculture intensification.
Across
Asia, we are blessed with some of the world’s most fertile lands and, in
agriculture, some of the world’s most fertile minds, as well. For example, I
have watched with great pride as, over the last few decades, Vietnam has
switched from being a country suffering frequent food deficits to becoming the
world’s second largest rice exporter. We accomplished this turn-around because
we embraced innovation.
Across
Asia, at the close of the 20th century and the dawn of the 21st, countries in
this region have consistently exceeded expectations for resourcefulness. Once
best known for poverty and conflict, much of Asia is now best known as a region
that has boldly and rapidly achieved stunning economic and technological
advances. I am confident that in this new era of climate-smart agriculture, our
farmers and our scientists will show the world how to take care of our people
while taking equally good care of our planet.
Dr.
Nguyen Van Bo
Asia
Sentinel
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