Jun 12, 2012

Singapore - 32% of S'poreans over 65 by 2050: Report

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By mid-century, nearly a third of Singaporeans will be aged over 65, the highest proportion among ASEAN countries, a new study has found.

A report published by Manulife Asset Management said that by 2050, 32 percent of the population here will be above 65. In 2010, the figure was 9 percent.

But it said that the problem will affect the entire region. The percentage of retirees in ASEAN countries will almost double in less than 20 years, and treble over 40 years.

This makes the question of long-term social security provision more important for the Asia-Pacific region, it said.

“With fewer workers and longer-living non-workers, the social security systems of these countries will come under increasing strain.”

The report noted that pensions in Singapore mainly come from the Central Provident Fund, but said the coverage rate is less than 50 percent. It said that lump sum payments are common in various countries in the region, but the individual faces “an increased risk of exhausting the savings accumulated over time in the pension system”.

But some countries, like Singapore, allow withdrawals before retirement, such as for the payment of homes.

Looking ahead, the Economist Intelligence Unit – which carried out the study for Manulife – expects strong growth for the combined life insurance assets of households in the six largest ASEAN markets.

Life insurance reserves in Singapore are expected to increase from US$12.3 billion in 2010 to $18.8 billion in 2016. Households' equity assets are also expected to grow from $542.8 billion in 2010 to $861.7 billion in 2016.

“The prospects for organized savings... look robust for the next five years or so.”

Still, formal pensions in ASEAN nations are “unlikely to remain the dominant component in the retirement savings landscape as [the] population ages”.

“Instead, it is likely that governments and institutions will continue to work together to drive forward reform in pension systems while developing other investment vehicles designed to support retirement planning,” the report said.

Amanda Tan
The Straits Times


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