Local
trading firms have suffered the worst drop in confidence in the region amid the
worsening global economy, according to a HSBC survey.
Its trade confidence index for Singapore
dropped by 16 points to 105, the most among eight Asia-Pacific countries surveyed
in May.
A reading above 100 means that the outlook for
traders is positive while one below 100 registers pessimism.
As a sign of how the mood differs across the
region, Indonesia recorded a confidence index rating of 144.
Mr Willie Tham, HSBC managing director and
head of commercial banking, said yesterday that it was not surprising that
companies here were turning more cautious given the global volatility.
But he added that over the longer term,
Singapore's prospects remain bright and trading volumes are expected to soar
110 per cent over the next 15 years.
This will make Singapore the ninth largest
trading nation by 2025, surpassing Canada, Russia and Spain, said HSBC.
Mr Tham noted that Singapore accounts for 2.2
per cent of global trade now and is expected to maintain its position as a core
hub linking China, Hong Kong, Malaysia and Indonesia as well as the United
States.
Asia trade volumes will grow 96 per cent to
nearly US$14 trillion by 2025 and the region will also be the key driver of
world trade growth.
China will be the largest trading nation in 15
years, with trade volumes up 146 per cent, ahead of the United States.
Overall global trade is expected to grow by
US$1 trillion year-on-year to 2015.
Mr Tham noted: "International trade is
set to increase despite current economic uncertainty; for businesses that are
looking to grow, international trade is the real opportunity."
Aaron Low
The Straits Times
Business & Investment Opportunities
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