It has been hailed by some as ground-breaking for getting
all countries to agree to work together.
But environmental NGOs, or
non-governmental organisations, in Singapore are not enamoured with the outcome
of the recently concluded United Nations climate talks in Durban, South Africa.
On top of harbouring little
hope that the annual conference would yield a legally binding agreement for all
nations, they say the deal to work towards such an agreement is hardly
ambitious enough to protect the world from irreversible climate change.
"The agreement is
fundamentally a plan to make a plan, and it can only be hailed as a success
once a legally binding deal has been officially adopted," said a sceptical
Jose Raymond, executive director of the Singapore Environment Council.
More than 190 countries at the
talks agreed on Sunday to a road map towards a global, legally binding accord
for countries to cut their greenhouse-gas emissions.
If the pact gets the go-ahead
as scheduled in 2015, it will take effect from 2020.
Conservation International
Singapore senior adviser Michael Totten was slightly more optimistic.
"The good news about the
Durban climate negotiations is they didn't break down; the bad news is that
action was delayed for years," he said.
Singapore Institute of International
Affairs researcher Henrick Tseng commented that the deal, achieved only after
talks stretched into some 30 hours of overtime and ended on Sunday morning at
6am (noon Singapore time), was "not particularly ambitious".
Prior to the talks, Mr Tseng
had expressed pessimism in view of developed nations' reluctance to commit to a
second round of emissions cuts.
Now, again, he was concerned
that developed nations might reject further commitments en masse.
"A crisis of confidence in
the Durban road map could erupt and the US, China and India will find less
incentive to cooperate in forging and binding themselves to a global
treaty," he said.
The three countries are the
world's biggest emitters, accounting for nearly half of total emissions. They
have been reluctant to commit to cuts: China and India because they feel they
need room to develop, and the US because it wants all countries to commit
before it will do so.
Environmental consultant Eugene
Tay agreed, explaining that there is also the risk that countries may pass an
agreement but not ratify it, he said, much like what the United States did with
the Kyoto Protocol.
The US signed the Protocol in
1998 but has never ratified it, meaning it is not bound by the legal agreement.
Yet, current science indicates
the world is on track for at least a 3.5 deg C temperature rise, more than the
goal of capping global warming at 2 deg C to stave off the impact of climate
change.
To address that, Mr Tay said,
individual governments should do more. For instance, South Korea is about to
pass a law requiring "cap and trade", the capping of emissions and
then trading of emissions allowances.
And Singapore has said it will
cut emissions by 7to 11 per cent by 2020, if no global binding deal is reached,
and by 16 per cent if one is.
Mr Totten feels business could
play a significant role. For example, electronics giant ST Microelectronics
announced its plans in 1998 to emit zero net greenhouse gases by last year, and
accomplished this through energy efficiency, renewable energy use and carbon
offsets.
This is something Singapore is
beginning to do as well. A proposed Energy Conservation Act will require heavy
industrial users of energy to improve their efficiency and appoint energy
managers.
Mr Billet Hoontrakul, director
of youth energy-issues group Energy Carta, said: "We can't afford to wait
for governments to come to an agreement. We have to demand it from the ground
level."
The group is trying to make
sustainable business attractive to young people as a career, added the 20-year-old,
a second-year engineering student at the National University of Singapore.
It is also working on a board
game to help young people understand the complexities of climate negotiations
and motivate them to act and to call for their governments to do the same.
Grace Chua
The Straits Times
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